I decided to join tomorrow’s 8-race free handicapping contest put together by The Racing Biz. Maryland Millions Day is Saturday. I get 2 entries; I will put outright win picks in one set, and 2nd place choices in another.
I remain in the ThoroEnduro contest at Remington Park, with 6 contest races tonight. Here’s how I see them:
Race 4 5-6-1 Cuando Again, Little Bit Okie, Lady Orchid.
Cuando Again should prevail here, this race being my biggest choice for a pricey upset. Best AWD numbers of the field (Dominus/Jezebella, out of Wild Again). This sprinter owns the best tactical speed of the field. Last 3 1st call numbers: 98, 83, 95. Floyd Wethey Jr returns to ride (prior winner with him last November). 11 cashes in 16 lifetime races at RP. Also a prior winner going from turf to dirt and removal of blinkers. Great increase at 1st and 2nd call in last start, after being 7 weeks away. He also gained well on leader, but falted afterward.
Race 6: 6-2-8 Drowningndiamonds, Sladens Dream, Welder.
Drowningndiamonds ran an 84 last time out, tho finished 5th out of 8, 6-wide at some point, yet gaining at nearly each call. 5 wins in 17 starts at RP. Waiting 3 weeks to stretch out. 2 works since at RP
Race 7: 1-6-2 Three Chords, Okie Diva, Jackson Hill.
Jackson Hill best of the non-favorites here. He surged to a 79, beyond his prior start of 42, absorbing a considerable drop in class, 50k to 30k, plus addition of Bute. Waiting since 5/4 to stretch out from 5.5 furlongs. 44% of sprinters in 6 furlong races have won during this meet. 14% of runners have won at this distance from posts 1 through 3.
Race 8: 2-10-3 Cowboy Mischief, Morhawk, Pacific Typhoon.
Morhawk ideal longshot for an upset. He’s the lone late closer of the field, tho has 1 lifetime win in 16, 9 cashes. Gained well vs leader at 2nd call last time out, and nearly won.
Race 9: 1-8-3 Shotgun Kowboy (best bet), Tuff Kid, D Toz.
Tuff Kid best of the rest here. Best AWD numbers (Don’t Get Mad/Tuff Chick, out of Wild Again). 6th race under reclaim by Karl Broberg. 1 win and 2 shows in those 5 races. In his last start, 1st after being 2 months away, and a distance/surface switch, he did better at 2nd call, and gained steadily on leader.
Race 10: 6-2-1 Sweet Mary M, Princess Asya, Special Treasure. Very mild value up front, but no real favorites. I like Special Treasure as a possible. Still a maiden after 3 races here vs 42k horses. Matched lifetime best of 66 last time out. Best tactical speed of these. 1st call numbers: 96, 90, 90. One of several fillies to carry 114, due to her maiden status. Similar track bias to Jackson Hill.