I have slightly expanded my reach of variables, tho still including stats from the venerable website www.baseball-reference.com The 10 variables I use to evaluate all players are these: Black Ink, Grey Ink, HOF Standards, HOF Monitor, JAWS, JAWSpos, WAR, WAR7 (7 year peak score), most similarity scores by career stats, most similarity scores per age. Descriptions for these are in their website’s glossary; no need to repeat here.
The players with the most top 10 ranks are the ones I would vote for. If I have to break a tie, I’ll compare the players involved on a head-to-head basis.
I considered my own formula, the combo of Fear Factor and the Bill James stat % of Offensive Value (and its pitcher equivalent, which is my creation), but will leave this aside for now.
Black Ink: 100 to 23. Any player scoring under 23 were out of the top 10. Frank Thomas is out at 21. In at 23 is Don Mattingly.
WAR7: 72.8 to 44.3(Glavine) Out at 43.7 is Sosa.
JAWS: 117.7 to 57.5(Trammell) Out at 55.9 is Edgar Martinez.
Similarity by age ranged from 14 to 4 between 9 players and left the cutoff there. In at 4 seasons are Lee Smith and Frank Thomas. Out with 3 are Biggio, Walker, Glavine, Durham.
My vote would go to these 10
First four out: Piazza, Raines, Trammell, Sosa.
What I really want to study, beyond numbers, is see the actual ballots of actual writers and guess how they might vote next. That may be a Part 2 to this post.