Idealistic Stats podcast 11/14/15

24nd edition of the weekly Idealistic Stats podcast is now available.

RSS: http://idealisticstats.podomatic.com/rss2.xml (available at iTunes and
via http://www.idealisticstats.podomatic.com )

Also accessible permanently at the Internet Archive
https://archive.org/details/idealisticstats110715

mp3: https://idealisticstats.files.wordpress.com/2015/11/idealisticstats1113151.mp3
Main website: idealisticstats.wordpress.com

Listen to exclusive soundbites of my analysis at Clammr:
http://www.clammr.com/app/user/27316

This week’s podcast includes the following:

Fantasy football thoughts re my team toward Week 10
Recap of my NFL binomial trends for week 9 and predictions for week 10
MLB classic game database update (2010-2015)

Music used in this program:
Annie Wenz “Play Ball” – Ride The Sky CD http://www.anniewenz.com
DJ Flowerdove “Distant Project Gate (Remix)” & “Sol Aurora”

http://www.soundcloud.com/djflowerdove

I’m currently seeking more music appropriate for this program. Contact me
directly to inquire.

Thanks for listening!

Dan Herman
idealisticstats.wordpress.com
dan@radiocrystalblue.net
Twitter: @idealisticstats
Clammr: http://www.clammr.com/app/user/27316

Ranking the top MLB classic games (initial study complete)

I’ve completed both phases of my ‘classic’ MLB games study. I’ve changed the name from ‘greatest’ because of a certain level of subjectivity.  Truly a game can be great, but saying one is classic is one that gets talked about for ages, even if just among a team or their hardcore fans.    293 games in the regular season and 84 in the postseason all met these 2 standards: combined Pitching Game Score of 150, and average Leverage Index of 3.00.  4 out of every 5 games were extra-inning affairs, and virtually all were strong pitcher duels with low scoring.   I’ve yet to understand the blank from the 90’s to the 2000’s where no regular season games qualified.  That will be the subject of a future mini-study. I’ll also get into team rivalries and other such circumstances.
When you examine the attached spreadsheet, you’ll see some numbers in bold. Those games involved the top 25 in either variable. I am outlining 3 games here in particular, plus one that went the conventional 9 frames.
9/21/45: Detroit and Philadelphia finish at dusk after 24 innings, tied at 1.
9/13/69  Braves and Astros score all their runs in the 13th, with Bob Aspromonte delivering a walk-off walk.
9/27/74: Orioles defeat Brewers 1-0 in 17. Great pitching duel between Jim Colborn and Jim Palmer. Bobby Grich scores on a fielders choice with bases loaded.
8/13/76 ranks as the best 9-inning game with no peer.  Rangers defeat Indians 2-1, as Jim Umbarger outduels Dennis Eckersley. Toby Harrah comes through twice in the game for each run.  Umbarger would pitch in the 1981 Pawtucket Red Sox game that went 33 innings. He pitched 10 innings of shutout baseball in that true classic.
To be fair, every one of the games in the spreadsheet is a classic. My aim to separate the lower-case classic from upper-case is just about accomplished.

As for the postseason, the Jack Morris 10-shutout game with the Gene Larkin finish won out as the only game to hit the top 10 on either side, making it the most classic of playoff games.

View the spreadsheet here  MLB greatest games phase 2

Idealistic Stats podcast #20, 10/17/15

20th edition of the weekly Idealistic Stats podcast is now available.
Also accessible permanently at the Internet Archive
mp3:
Main website: idealisticstats.wordpress.com
Listen to exclusive soundbites of my analysis at Clammr:
This week’s podcast includes the following:
Analysis of Golovkin/Lemieux middleweight prizefight
MLB greatest games update
NFL binomial/mean predictions/analysis
Fantasy football team update
Music used in this program:
Annie Wenz “Play Ball” – Ride The Sky CD http://www.anniewenz.com
DJ Flowerdove “Distant Project Gate (Remix)” and “Sol Aurora”
I’m currently seeking more music appropriate for this program. Contact me
directly to inquire.
Thanks for listening!
Dan Herman
idealisticstats.wordpress.com
dan@radiocrystalblue.net
Twitter: @idealisticstats

Idealistic Stats 9/25/15 podcast details

17th edition of the weekly Idealistic Stats podcast is now available.
Also accessible permanently at the Internet Archive:
Main website: idealisticstats.wordpress.com
Listen to exclusive soundbites of my analysis at Clammr:
This week’s podcast includes the following:
Analysis of top stakes action at Parx, Albuquerque and Emerald Downs
Fantasy football thoughts re my team toward Week 3
Update to the MLB greatest games project, now entering its 2nd phase
Analysis of the WBC world heavyweight title fight taking place on 9/26.
Music used in this program:
DJ Flowerdove “Distant Project Gate (Remix)” & “Sol Aurora”
I’m currently seeking more music appropriate for this program. Contact me directly to inquire. .
Thanks for listening!
Dan Herman
idealisticstats.wordpress.com
dan@radiocrystalblue.net
Twitter: @idealisticstats

Idealistic Stats podcast 9/11/15

15th edition of the weekly Idealistic Stats podcast is now available.

RSS: http://idealisticstats.podomatic.com/rss2.xml

Also accessible permanently at the Internet Archive:
https://archive.org/details/idealisticstats091115

mp3:

Main website: idealisticstats.wordpress.com

This week’s podcast includes the following:
Thoughts and predictions on the Mayweather/Berto fight
Analysis of 5 stakes races that are part of my Enlightened Trails, taking
place 9/12
Last minute analysis of my fantasy football lineup and concerns
Update to the MLB greatest games project, complete through 2012

Music used in this program:
Annie Wenz “Play Ball” – Ride The Sky CD http://www.anniewenz.com
Ray Goren “Save My Soul” – Save My Soul CD http://www.raygoren.com
Matt Ellis “On The Horizon” – The Greatest Escape CD http://www.mattellis.com
DJ Flowerdove “Distant Project Gate (Remix)”

http://www.soundcloud.com/djflowerdove

Thanks for listening!

Dan Herman
idealisticstats.wordpress.com
dan@radiocrystalblue.net
Twitter: @idealisticstats

MLB greatest games project update

This update to the spreadsheet includes all years through 1999.  I’ve identified all games in bold that have a combined team 3.00 aLI and combined 150 Game Score. No surprise, the 18 in bold are mainly long pitchers duels, often in extra innings.   Remember we’re not looking for games memorialized by one moment or one team’s accomplishment. It’s about both teams.  The 19K game by Nolan Ryan is made stronger by the fact that his counterpart, Toronto’s Jesse Jefferson, allowed 1 run on 5 hits, 2 walks, tossed 6 Ks for a good GS of 74. Bottom line: a well-pitched game that was mainly in doubt much of the way.  Exactly the game I’m looking for.  I’m pleased to see the 10-inning Jack Morris shutout in here, a true classic as it was in WS G7, never mind the hard numbers.

I’ll update this spreadsheet this week or next to include games through mid 2015.  Beyond this, I want to list the best games by aLI and GS per year, inclusive and exclusive of extra-inning affairs, plus align the 2 categories to see if there are other games that aren’t on my master list.

Linked here is the spreadsheet.baseballgreatest