2015 PGA Championship

This week, the PGA championship makes their 3rd appearance at Whistling Straits Golf Course in Wisconsin.   Here I’ve listed the golfers that comprise my top foursome, based on the combination of the stats Ball Striking & Scrambling:
#5 golfer in the world
9th year on tour.
2015:   13 of 15 cuts made, 7 top 10s, 2 wins.
Lifetime 129 of 166 cuts made, 43 top 10s, 4 wins.
Top 10 scores: driving distnce, strokes gained, scoring average, all-around, going for green, approaches 200-225, approaches 175-200 from rough, putting average, low round, round 1 scoring, back 9 and early scoring, par 3 & 4, final round, bounce back.
2nd appearance at Whistling Straits. Scores in 2010: 69-72-66-74, tied for 10th.
Overall,rather average outlook. Can’t rely on power; must be able to succeed at his short game as well as what’s right in front of him. Also must keep emotions in check,which will be difficult as he’s on an emotional critical day to start the tournament.

#2 on tour. 3rd full year. This year: 18 of 20 cuts, 13 top 10s, 4 wins.    Career: 65 of 78 cuts, 30 top 10s, 5 wins.
Top 10s: strokes gained, scoring average, all-around, approaches above 200, approaches over 100 from rough, along with 175-200,50-125, 100-125, 75-100
1st appearance at this course.
Outlook is mixed.  Physically in generally good shape.Mental game is off for the first 2 days. Emotionally feeling somewhat down. No sense of awareness. He’ll succeed as far as his pure power can guide him.
#15 on tour, 2nd full year.
This year, made 18 of 19 tourneys, with 8 top 10s. Lifetime: 46 of 53 cuts made, 14 top 10s, 1 win.
Top 10s: strokes gained, eagles per hole, total driving, all-around, total driving, approaches 175-200 and 100-125, putting from 10′, front 9, par 4, final round
First appearance at Whistling Straits
Terrible outlook. Physical/mental cycles way down, and starts tourney with intuition critical day. Just doesn’t have it to make the cut here.
World #47, in his 7th full year on tour.  This year he has made 14 of 17 cuts, 4 top 10s.  Lifetime: 133 of 183 cuts, 43 top 10s, 4 wins.   First appearance at Whistling Straits.
Top 10s: Strokes gained tee-to-green, approaches 225-250, low round, par 5..
Not the best cycles but the best of my foursome.Very weak physically,tho his mental faculties are quite strong; must rely on short game.

PGA Quickens National 2015 analysis

Quickens National Invitational is one of a handful such tournaments on the PGA Tour, and is being held at the Robert Trent Jones Golf Club, site of prior Presidents Cups, tho I haven’t located any specific invitational or open tournaments that have taken place at the RTC course itself.
Here are my fearless foursome for the week:

WILL WILCOX  is #135 in the world.   6/2/86.  4th year on tour, 2nd full.   9 of 13 cuts made, 3 top 10s, one second.   Lifetime: 19 of 31 cuts made, 5 top 10s, 1 second.
top 10s: Greens in regulation, holes per hole, sand save %, scoring average, total driving, all-around, approaches 175-200,all over 200 from rough, putting over 25’, round 1 and 4 scoring plus final, par 3 and 4,

Mixed bag of cycles; emotional critical day for round 4 and very poor decision making, yet will feel upbeat and passionate.

JOHN PETERSON  ranks as #252. 4th year on tour, 2nd full year. This year, 18 of 22 cuts made, 6 top 25s.   Lifetime: 36 of 62 cuts 11 top 25s, and 2 top 10s.
Top 10 stats:  None

Terrible cycles, with physical critical in round 3. Won’t survive the cut.
DANIEL BERGER    #79 in the world.  First full year on the tour.   Lifetime 15 cuts in 25, 5 top 10s.
Top 10s: Approaches 200-225, all over 200, longest hole outs in yards, back 9 scoring, par 5s.
Challenging cycles, facing a double critical day for the latter rounds re his mental and intuitive cycles; will need to rely on overall power.

JASON BOHN    Ranks #103. 13th year on the tour. This year: 17 of 22 cuts made, 4 top 10s. Lifetime: 189 of 289, 25 top 10s, 2 wins.
Here are the stats he ranks in the top 10 with: Driving accuracy percentage, approaches 225-250, 175-200, 225-250 (rough), 125-150 (rough), putting average, 3-putt avoidance, putts from 3 and 8’. Front 9, late scoring, par 4.

Great cycles here, good sense of passion here as well as pure power and liveliness, tho will make more of his share of errors.
I generally like all 4 golfers but Bohn is my pick of these to win.

2015 RBC Canadian Open selections

RBC Canadian Open, an early claimant to ‘5th major’ status in PGA history, returns to Glen Abbey Golf Course in Oakville, Ontario, a Nicklaus design.
For this week, I have 3 golfers who fit in the top 50 of both Ball Striking and Scrambling

11/12/87  #9 in the world. 10th year on the tour.  11 of 13 cuts made this year, 6 top 10s, 1 win. Lifetime: 127 of 164 with 42 top 10s, 3 wins.
Top 10s: Driving distance, birdie average, all around, going for the green, approaches from 200-225, 100-125, +-50-125, putting average (never missed under 3’ this year),putting over 20’, low round, scoring average, round 1 scoring, back 9, early, par 4, final round, bounce back

Glen Abbey history:
2008: 65-75-69-73, tied for 48th. Best holes: 4, 5, 15, 18. Worst: 14, 16.
2009: 70-70-72-71, 52nd. Best holes: 11, 16, 17, 18. Worst: 4, 6, 12
Very weak physically but is attuned to his surroundings, and should have his short game developed well to succeed.
#3 in the world. 10th full year on tour. This year: 10 of 12 cuts made, 5 top 10s 2 wins.  Lifetime: 158 of 225, 92 top 25s, 43 top 10s, 8 wins.
Top 10s: driving distance, strokes gained, holes per eagle, scoring average, club head speed, going for green, approaches 225-250, 125-150, round 1 scoring, front 9, par 5, bounce back.
2008 69-73, missed cut. Best: 13. Worst: 9.
2009 75-68, missed cut Best holes: 2, 15, 16. Worst: 4
2013  68-67-72-73,21st Best holes: 2, 12, 18. Worst: 8
Here’s an example of what Bubba can do, and did…
Physical critical day for round 1 will not help his chances right off, nor his low emo and intuitive cycles.  Mentally he’s rather strong.  He should invest more into his short game.  The good news is that his overall athletic ability is good as well as focus  Not one to throw out.
Ranks #248 in the world.  4th year on tour.  This year, made 18 of 21 cuts, 6 top 25s. Lifetime: 36 of 60 cuts, 11 top 25s, just 2 top 10s.   No top 10 stats.   First appearance at Glen Abbey.
Mixed bag  but on the negative side. Physically and intuitively is fine but a real negative outlook, not connecting well to the surroundings.  Wisdom levels very low; cannot make crucial decisions well. Intuition will fail him if he makes it to the weekend.   Likely not to make the cut.

US Open (golf) analysis

This time around, no practice green, nor dress rehearsal.  Instead of factoring the US Open for last week, I’m properly including my foursome for this week.   As with the prior post, I’m calculating and ranking golfers the same way (ball striking/scrambling)  Before we get to my top 4, some humor: Local realtor has two placards for southern-bound traffic “Welcome US Open Golfers” “But I’ll be at Lake Spanaway GC“. Who could blame the owner when Lake Spanaway has $20/round specials before 7am and after 3pm, $40 midday?
HIDEKI MATSUYAMA qualified being in top 60 in leaderboard for official world golf ranking. He stands as #14 on the PGA Tour.  15 of 16 cuts this year with 13 top 10s.  Lifetime 43 of 50 cuts made, 14 top 10s, 1 win.   3rd US Open appearance; best finish, 10th.
Top 10s:  GIR%, strokes gained tee to green, eagles per hole, all-around, approaches from 100-125 yards, 175-200; front 9, par 4, final round.
Very auspicious week for Hideki, as all cycles are pointed up and rising. Might make some mental blunders on day one but he will be quick to improve on them.
JASON DAY is world #10. 9 of 11 cuts made, 4 top 10s, 1 win. Lifetime: 125 of 162, 40 top 10s, 3 wins.    Top 10s: driving distance, birdie average (leader), all-around,going for the green, approaches 50-125 yards, putting average (automatic from within 3’, and very strong above 20’), birdie or better conversion,  par breakers (leader), early scoring, round 4 and final round, par 3 and par 4, bounce back.  Made all 4 cuts at the US Open prior with ranks from 2nd (twice) to 59th..
Rather mixed chart here…Starts out with a pair of critical days, so he’ll feel rather off-kilter despite being at his peak physically. Generally a case of ‘grip it and rip it’.  Hoping he can survive the cut but I have my doubts.
WEBB SIMPSON is world #41 and won the 2012 US Open. 11 of 13 cuts this year, 4 top 10s.  Lifetime: 130 of 179, 43 top 10s, 4 wins.  He also finished 14th, 32nd and 45th in his only other appearances at this major. Top 10s: strokes gained tee to green, all-around, going for the green, approaches 75-100 and 150-175, round 1 scoring (leader), early scoring, par 3 and par 5s,
Might be a tough 4 days.  Physically approaching peak, yet also is facing double critical day, and will be rather off the mark a lot.  Not sure he will survive unless he relies on his success on par 5s.
JORDAN SPIETH, world #2 made 14 of 16 cuts, 9 top 10s, 2 wins in 2015. Lifetime: 61 of 74, 26 top 10s, 3 wins. Top 10s: Strokes gained tee to green, birdie and scoring average (leader), rough proximity (leader), approaches over 100 (leader), 150-175, 50-125 (leader), 100-125 (leader), 75-100; putting average and putts per round (leads in both, especially in round 2),3-putt avoidance, putts per round-round 1 and 2, putting 20-25’; birdie or better conversion, par breakers, round 2 scoring, front 9 (leader) as well as back 9, late scoring (leader), all par 4s (leader). Makes 4th appearance in this major after being low amateur and 21st in 2012, cut in 2013, and 17th last year.
Mostly negative outlook here. He might make the right decisions, but he’ll find his power and emo outlook rather lacking.Don’t expect see him competing on Sunday.

My 2015 Masters tournament prediction; best foursome, holes

Looking at this year’s first golf major, always the Masters, always Augusta GA, I again present my top foursome, based on two major stats that I evaluate golfers by: Scrambling (the ability to score well after getting into trouble) and ball striking (command of ball), essentially the combo of Greens In Regulation A% and Total Driving stats as measured by the PGA Tour.  These are golfers you want in your fantasy majors foursomes, or at least fantasy leagues:
Henrik Stenson 4 4 I rank best overall among the four.  World #2 has never done better than 14th, last year’s result, at Augusta National. Probably the best golfer yet to win a major, finishing as well as 2nd in the 2013 British Open. Survived 6 cuts in 9 straight appearances at The Masters. Best ever round was the 4th in 2013 with a 69.
Top 10s this year in the following categories: GIR %, Strokes Gained: Total (1), Holes per Eagle, Scoring Average, Clubhead Speed, approaches from 125-150, approaches from the rough at 175-200, Scrambling, total putting, average distance of putts made, putts from various length as long as 15’, scoring averages in rounds 1 and 4 and also back 9, par3 and par4 scoring average.
Best holes at Augusta:  2  8  13   14   15
Worst: 4 5 7 10 11 12 16 17 18
Hideki Matsuyama had a stellar amateur career winning low amateur title at Augusta in 2011, and has done well on the Japan Golf Tour. This is his 2nd year on the PGA Tour.  He’s finished in the top 30 in all four PGA majors. Best finish in the Masters was 27th in 2011.  He’s making his 4th appearance after surviving 2011 and 2012, and then cut in 2014.
Top 10s this year: Strokes gained (total), holes per eagle, total driving (1), ball striking, all-around, approaches 100-125 yards and 175-200, scrambling from fringe (1), front 9 and late scoring average, par 4 scoring, par 4 birdie or better, consecutive birdies/eagles streak.
Best holes at Augusta:  2 3   8   13  15 16
worst 1 4 6  7  9  10  11 12 17 18
Webb Simpson is on his 8th year on tour, on several national teams as both amateur an pro. Winner of the 2012 US Open. 3 appearances at Augusta, tied for 44th, cut twice.
Top 10s:
Strokes gained tee to green, birdie and scoring average, ball striking, approaches 75-100 and 125-200 yards; scrambling, par breakers, early scoring average, par 5 scoring,
Best 2 3 8 9 13 15
Worst 1  4  5 7 10  11  12 16 17 18
Jason Day  is another who’s done very well in majors yet has yet to win a major. He’s been 2nd in the Masters the US Open (both in 2011). 7 wins lifetime.  Survived 14 of 17 cuts in majors.
World rank: 5th. 4 appearances at Augusta National, tied 2, 3rd, 20th, withdrawn.
Top 10s:  Driving distance, GIR%, Birdie average, scoring averagee, sand save %, all-around (1), going for the green (birdie or better), approaches from 50-125 yards, scrambling from 20-30 yards, putting average, putting from 4’, from 8’, par breakers (1), round 4, early and back 9 scoring averages, par 3 and par 4 scoring, birdie or better % (1), bounce back (1),

Best holes at Augusta:

best 2 3 8 9 13 14 15 16
worst 1 4 6 10 11 17 18
I’d side with Jason Day here, who has about as many great holes as terrible ones.
Overall the 4 golfers all seem to do their best on the 2nd, 3rd, 8th, 13th, 15th holes.  Worst ones, and certainly the holes to watch most: 1st, 4th, 7th, 10th, 11th 12th (all 3 on Amen Corner),17th, 18th.