With regard to this mystical sport, I like to focus on golfers who are able to control their ability off the tee, along with those who get out of trouble after once getting into it. The two stats I refer to are Ball Striking and Scrambling, 2 stats as listed at http://www.pgatour.com These two stats are what I oriented my picks around to help determine the winner of a tournament. Perhaps more than any other course, one has to be somewhat familiar with Augusta National to actually succeed there.
What I present are 8 golfers who rank well in both stats and who have that golden invite to this most exclusive of fields.
BRANDT SNEDEKER: 4th in Greens in Regulation, 1st All-Around, 4th in Scoring Average, 5th in Sand Saves, 1st in Par Breakers, 10th in Par 3 Birdie or Better, 2nd in Par 4 Birdie or Better, 6th in Birdie or Better Conversion, 2nd in both 3rd and Final Round scoring average, 3rd in Scrambling and Bounce Back, 1st in Par 4 performance, 7th in Scrambling from over 30 yards, 10th in approaches 50-125 yards, 1st in Rough Proximity, 2nd in Front 9 scoring, 7th in Back 9 scoring,
Qualified by finishing top 4 in last year’s British Open. Just 5 PGA tour wins to his credit. Making his 5th Masters appearance. Record at The Masters includes tied for 3rd in 2008, 41st in 2004, 15th in 2011, 19th in 2012, and missing the cut just once, in 2009. Average score 72.56
Actually ranking him low among my picks, as his biorhythm cycles are triple low in the first 2 rounds.
BILL HAAS: 3rd in GIR, 6th in Par 4 perf, 4th in GIR% 175-200 yards out, 3rd in GIR% over 100. Qualified as being in the top 50 in last year’s $ list. 4 PGA tour wins. Making just his 4th Masters appearance, made the cut all 3 prior (26th, 37th, 42nd), always scoring 70-76 in all his Masters rounds. Scoring average 72.58
Biorhythms are not promising as only physical cycle is positive, but then hits 2 critical days during the 4 days.
KEEGAN BRADLEY: 10th in Driving distance, 6th in scoring, 4th in Par 5 birdie or better, 8th in round 3 scoring, 3rd in Par 5 performance, 7th in driving % over 300 yards, 4th in going for green, 9th in front 9 scoring, 7th inavg dist to hole after going for it, 6th dring % 320 yards +, 9th in apex height of shots. Scoring average at August: 72.50
Qualified being one of the last 5 PGA tour champs. 3 PGA wins. Finished 27th in only Masters appearance.
Biorthythms are triple-high all four days, and a strong favorite.
LEE WESTWOOD: does not rank top 10 in any stats. Qualified after finishing 3rd in last year’s Masters. 2 PGA tour wins. Makes his 14th appearance at Augusta National, with a 2nd place finish in 2010, 3rd last year, missing the cut 3 times. Scoring average 72.67
Biorhythms: Mental/emotional cycles very high, physical very low.
HUNTER MAHAN: 10th in Bounce Back, 1st in GIR % 75-100 yards,
5 PGA tour wins. Qualified after finishing 12th in last year’s Masters. Makes his 7th Masters appearance (prior finishes include 8th, 10th, 12th, 28th). 71.85 scoring average. Missed cut twice. Biorhythms: see Westwood, very similar pattern.
Biorhythms are very similar to Westwood’s.
SERGIO GARCIA: 3rd in Holes per Eagle, 3rd in scoring average, 8th all-around, 3rd in GIR % from fairway bunker, 4th in Bounce Back, 1st in GIR% 100-125 yards, 10th 175-200, 3rd under 125 yards, 2nd in putting over 25 feet, 3rd in GIR% from other than fairway, 4th in scrambling from rough, 6th in Front 9 scoring, 7th in club speed and spin rate, 1st in hang time.
8 PGA tour wins. Perhaps the best golfer never to win a major with best performances of 2nd at the British Open and PGA Championships, 4th at The Masters, 3rd at the US Open. Qualifies for this year’s Masters upon finishing 12th there last year. Makes his 15th appearance at the age of 33, was low amateur in 1999, missed the cut just 4 times. Best finishes were 8th in 2002, 4th in 2004. 73.10 scoring average at Augusta.
Biorhythms look promising, with physical and mental cycles positive and rising, emotional cycle just past its nadir and also beginning to rise.
KEVIN STREELMAN: 7th in total driving, 10th in par 3 performance, 3rd in approaches 225-250 yards out, 9th in back 9 scoring average,
Qualified via PGA tour win (his first) at the Tampa Bay Championship last month. Was cut in 2011, only prior Masters appearance.
Biorhythms are generally good with strong emotional and mental cycles, and physical cycle is just past nadir, suggesting an uphill gain in strength.
Defending champion BUBBA WATSON: 7th in driving distance, 1st in Par 4 birdie or better, 5th in Par 4 performance, 1st in driving % over 300 yards and 320+, 3rd in going for green, 1st in avg dist to hole after going for it, 4th in club head speed, 3rd in smash factor.
4 PGA wins. Makes his 5th Masters appearance (previous finishes were 20th, 42nd, 38th and 1st). Scoring average 71.75
Born one day after Streelman, Bubba’s cycles are therefore exceedingly similar to his
How to put this all together? Which stats should give more preference than others?
I decided to give GIR, club tech, driving and club tech stats, along with Augusta National stroke average and favorable biorhythms the edge. With this, I attempt to rank the 8 golfers: Snedeker, Garcia, Bubba, Keegan, Hunter, Streelman, Haas, Westwood.
Stats stource: www.masters.com www.pgatour.com (using 2013 numbers)