First is the Governor’s Cup, for 2YOs, going 6 furlongs, 55k purse.
Here are the contenders:
1 FORGE AHEAD FRANKI broke maiden 2 races back in August stretching to 5.5 furlongs. The single horse in the field who can repeat a win from such a move. Also it’s been 6 weeks since his last race…so he’s probably the freshest of those stretching out. Considering race shape he is one of several stalker types that can succeed. Odds: 7/2. My odds: 6-1. Contender.
2 SKY T won the province-bred CTBA Futurity, 40k 2 races back, then was 5th in the Gold Rush Futurity. Appears to be the class of the field. On the bench since mid-August, but that should not be concern, since he did win his maiden debut. 4 works at Zia since last race, 2 fast, one a bullet, all breezing. Odds: 4-1. My odds: 12-1. Dark horse.
4 PLASKA won his maiden debut, then was 7th in 20k allowance company in late August. That last race and today’s race are being run on layoff. With a middle post, I’d hope he’d run with a comfortable spot and score like that 78 Brisnet today. Working out at Retama with 2 bullet works.
Odds: 6-1. My odds: 10-1. Outsider.
5 PAIN AND MISERY graduated at 24k maiden level last out, here a few weeks ago. Best AWD numbers from his pedigree (Bob and John/Singing Doe, by Running Stag). His lone race here was a good trip, and a 77 Brisnet effort, best on Zia of this field as well as for the distance. Odds: 5/2. My odds: 7/2. Contender:
6 TRIBAL ECHO finally broke maiden in 6th try, here at Zia and first time off claim. Also posted a 77 Brisnet here at Zia last time out, decidedly his best effort. Has best jockey/trainer combo of the field (Enrique Gomez 21% wins, Bart Hone 39%). Forging the 77 score after much lesser scores in his career suggests he is truly in much better hands. Odds: 5-1. My odds: Better than 2-1. Favorite, possibly the one overlay here.
6 Tribal Echo
5 Pain and Misery
1 Forge Ahead Franki
2 SKIM THE RAIL is the lone closer of the field. Winner of the Manzano Stakes at Albuquerque last time out, good for 100 EOT points. 72 Brisnet from that race is best for the distance of the field. Top jockey/trainer combo aboard: Elvin Gonzalez (22%) and Justin Evans (21%). Forged pair of better races with a 70 and 72 in last two. Considering race shape, he has a certain advantage, given all the speed upfront. Switches back to regular jockey Elvin Gonzalez). Odds: 5-1. My odds: 7/2. Contender.
3 EXIT WEST has wired fields of 5.5 and 5 furlong races in her 2 lifetime races. Last out, 6 weeks ago, scored an 83 ahead of her debut at 74. Great work tab at Remington Park, 4 in all, one very fast. Up in class from the 30k allowance race last out, and stretching out again from 5.5 to 6. Ships from Remington as well. Might repeat her 83 Brisnet victory here. Steve Assmussen certainly has strong intentions for her. Odds: 7/2. My odds are in agreement. Contender.
5 ROUSANNE won her maiden effort, and has not done all that well in stakes company. Forged lifetime best of 70 last time out in a 25k allowance race for fillies. Possible bounce risk here. Odds: 8-1. My odds: 7/2. Contender, maybe overlay
3 Exit West.
2 Skim The Rail