Enlightened Trails update: Delta Downs 1/12, 1/13/18

Most horseplayers will look to Gulfstream Park for top-graded Thoroughbred action this weekend. I turn to my Enlightned Trails instead, focusing on 2 races at Delta Downs.
Tonight is the first of the 3YO races on either Trail. The Take Charge Brandi Stakes is for 3YO fillies, 60k purse, 7 furlongs on dirt.
Top 3 here are pretty chalky in Testing One Two, Upset Brewing, and Laudation. This 6-horse race is down from 8, following morning scratches to She’s The Fastest and Yes To The Dress. Upset Brewing is a decided favorite per the morning-line.
Potential odds: Testing One Two 3-1; Upset Brewing 1-1; Laudation and La Mistake 8-1; Cowgirl Callie 37-1. No overlays in this race. Laudation becomes the lone closer of the field. Testing One Two will need a collapsed pace to win this race and I believe she will. 84 BRIS 2 races back in winning her 2nd maiden race here in October…best for track and distance in this field. Also a prior winner 1st off layoff. Paired with an 88 last time out in the LA Jewel. 5 workouts since that race.
No real shot at value in this one. None of these fillies have prior EOT points.

Saturday’s event is for the 3YO colts on the EDT Trail. This is the 60k Big Drama Stakes, 7 furlongs. Top 3 are Boune in Nixa, Bobby’s wicked One, and Much Trouble, the only value horse here. No overlays so far.
Bourne in Nixa on the rail is the lone deep closer. Pair of wins at 6 furlongs, scoring 90 then 81. Waiting since 11/4 to stretch. Plenty of works since then, a few fast ones at that.
Much Trouble is worth a look. Still a maiden after 3 races, he forged a big gain from 65 to 81 on 11/18 and has been off since. The 81 one score earned him 2nd place but earned a win via DQ. The wide and troubled, yet fast, trip should be an indicator of a better race today (not to mention the switch to a 26% jockey and 44% trainer).

2018 Baseball Hall Of Fame ballot analysis

This year’s HOFM class (never, ever forget this is a
museum too, folks) appears pretty strong, with a few
first-timers looking to become first-ballot entrats, and
there are none facing elimination from next year’s ballot.
Jack Morris and Alan Trammell got in via the Modern
Baseball group, to lower the bar somewhat overall. I felt
that Morris was somewhat marginal, and Trammell
reaching at best to be in the conversation. Hall of Fame?
I suppose. More like the Hall of Pretty Consistently
Good. For A While.
As with my previous rankings, I took the top 10 in
various categories, all listed in Baseball-reference.com:
Black Ink, Grey Ink, HOF Monitor, HOF Standards, JAWS,
JAWSpos, WAR, WAR/7, most similar players to careers
totals within top 10, most similar cumulative by age
within top 10. From these I counted who were top 10 in
the most categories, and broke ties simply using side-
by-side comparisons. Every position was considered
equal to another.
Results of the initial spreadsheet plus the alternate

Chipper and Thome are easily in among those appearing
for the first time. Johan, among pitchers, proved to be
best of the first-time pitchers. With the Black Ink, Grey
Ink, and WAR stats, he’s in the conversation, but he
lacks in all other areas. Notably he has no similar stats
to other pitchers by others per career and age. Lefty
Grove might have been the best match, but now more
like very good but not oustanding pitchers such as Cole
Hamels or David Price.
Andruw Jones also is best of the rest among batters. He
ranks well within his WAR and JAWS stats, and matches
up well historically to Reggie, Frank Robinson and Duke
Snider, including best match Dale Murphy. I have always
liked him; maybe with a weaker class he’ll move up
more.

There was a tie for the last spot, between Vladimir,
Edgar Martinez and Sheffield. Here’s how they ranked
between them.
Black Ink: Edgar by a mile
Grey: Guerrero, comfortably
Monitor: Guerrero, easily
Standard: Guerrero, big
WAR: Here’s where there is a closer argument between
the three. Edgar with the narrow advantage.
WAR7: Edgar in another close shave.
JAWS: Edgar again, close.
JAWSPOS: Edgar, 11th at 3B, nicely over Vladimir and
Sheffield in RF.
Similar career in stats: Sheff ranks just ahead of Vladimir
here. Sheff compares to these HOF’ers: Ott, Reggie,
Griffey, Mickey, Billy Williams, Frank Robinson, Frank
Thomas.
Vladimir: Bagwell, Rice, Stargell, Billy Williams, Duke
Similarity, age: Guerrero, easily.
Edgar narrowly gets the edge over Vladimir for my
virtual vote over the others.
IN: Clemens, Bonds, Thome, Ramirez, Walker, Sosa,
Jones, Mussina, Schilling, Edgar.

As for my own, sabermetric version of the ballot, there
were 19 batters, 10 starters, and 4 relief pitchers. Kerry
Wood I count as both starter and reliever, as he switched
mid-careeer from his starter role.
I decided on creating a vote by taking the top 6 batters,
3 starters, and the one best reliever.
From the total amount of batters, Bonds, Chipper,
Ramirez, Sheffield, Thome are in…there is a tiebreaker
between Guerrero, Sosa and Andruw Jones. Let’s see how
they compare:
Games played: Sosa by about 200 over others
WPA/LI: Guerrero narrowly over Sosa
MVP Shares: Guerrero slightly over Sosa
Franchises played for: A bit of a tie. Sosa with the edge,
playing for just 4.
HR/PA: Sosa wins here, a few PAs ahead of the others
Postseason games: Andruw Jones leads here with 76,
dwarfing Vladimir’s 44.
Zen factor: Vladimir slight edge over the others at 416.
Sosa and Guerrero in a tie after these. Using them
head-to-head, here’s who matches up better:

Sosa leads in G, franchises, HR/PA. Guerrero leads in all
others. I will give him the edge here.
SP: Between the 9, I chose the top 3 for each variable and
collected the details. Clemens and Schilling are an easy
1-2. Then there’s a tie between Wood and Johan for the
last spot. Here’s how they match up:
Johan leads in these categories: WPA/LI, MVP, CYA,
franchises. Wood leads in G, K/BF, postseason G, Zen
Factor.
Gee, flatfooted tie. Do I put them both in? I could. Maybe
it’s just easier to leave them in and go with a 5-4-1
framework….5 batters, 4 starters, 1 RP.
If we do this, then here’s how my ballot would work:
Bonds, Chipper, Thome, Ramirez, Sheffield
Clemens, Schilling, Johan, Wood
Hoffman

Combining both lists, here’s my bona fides:
Clemens, Bonds, Thome, Ramirez, Schilling

On the doorstep….these are on either one of the other
list:
Sheffield, Chipper, Johan, Wood, Hoffman, Walker, Jones,
Mussina, Sosa, Edgar.
Everyone else is out, including McGriff,
Kent, Wagner, and all the other first-time ballot
candidates.

2018 Kentucky Derby Wager Pool 1/Sire wager aftermath, and picks

Ultimately, neither pool changed my impact. I was in no position, as with prior pools to wait until the last few minutes to get my wagers in, therefore missing out on the 7-1 odds of Bolt D’Oro. I stuck to my guns using my 2nd through 6th picks, figuring the Megdalia D’Oro colt would remain at 5-1 and not do worse.  If I had the opportunity, I would have put $2 more on this one.
Upon the running of the Kentucky Jockey Club, there seemed only little evidence to change my tune. No horses impressed me, outside of Enticed who became of my 5 with the win. Tiz Mischief’s speed rating put him a lot closer, but I ultimately left him off the list.  I did give Sporting Chance the edge for having the Grade 1 win.
The wagers:
$2 wins on
Avery Island 29-1
Enticed 56-1
Free Drop Billy 33-1
Good Magic 11-1
Untamed Domain 29-1
$1 exacta box:
Bolt D’Oro (7-1), Enticed, Good Magic, field
Best payout: Enticed over Good Magic, $663.

Sire Wager only solidified Megdalia D’Oro’s place further in my wagers.  Owing to a currently small budget, I decided not to pursue exactas for this pool.
$2 wins on:
Curlin (barely qualified at 6-1)
Into Mischief 16-1
Scat Daddy 26-1
Tapit 8-1
Union Rags 28-1

I did pass up on Megdalia D’Oro, who held at 5-1
If I had played the exactas, I’d have done this box:
Megdalia D’Oro, Tapit, Curlin, field.   Probably a good thing to pass it up, as no odds in this group is worse than 8-1.

2018 Kentucky Derby Pool 1 analysis

 

In studying the Future Wager, I kept to last year’s procedure for handicapping, duplicated from my previous post. Class, Churchill Downs pace, longest win, pace progress, AWD, run pace.
I kept the top 7 in each category, and added up the ranks in variables. Here first I’m listing the best of the rest, in the event one of my horses has too good of the odds.
8th: COPPER BULLET: Grade 2 winner of the Saratoga Special, following a 2nd in the Bashford Manor at CD, and his maiden win there with a 93 Bris. https://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/race/usa/cd/2017/5/25/1/race-1-msw-at-cd-on-5-25-17
The 93 score ties for best CD effort of the 23 horses here. Lifetime runs: 94, 88, 93, 88.
7th: TIZ MISCHIEF: Won at maiden level in 3rd try at Keeneland 10/7, 8.5 furlongs, 90 BrIs.

https://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/race/usa/kee/2017/10/7/4/race-4-msw-at-kee-on-10-7-17

Prior race was 93 at CD, matching Copper Bullet’s best here. Maiden debut was 79, so the progress is hopeful.
6th: SPORTING CHANCE. Winner of the Grade 1 Hopeful after winning vs 83k maidens. Lifetime pace numbers: 98, 89, 79. Making good pace progress.
And here’s the top 5:
AVERY ISLAND Winner of the Grade 2 Nashua at Aqueduct on 11/5. Good AWD numbers (Street Sense/Kinda Spicy by AP Indy) Won maiden race at 8.5 furlongs.

UNTAMED DOMAIN: Won the Grade 2 Summer Stakes, 2nd last out in the BC Juvenile Turf with 89 Bris; 3rd in the G3 8.5 furlong With Anticipation. Good AWD numbers (Animal Kingdom/Ciao, out of Lear Fan). Progressing nicely in pace; 4 gains out of a possible race in each lifetime effort.

FREE DROP BILLY Winner of the Grade 1 8.5 furlongs Breeders Futurity, 2nd in the Hopeful (98 Bris) and Sanford. 9th last time out in the Breeders Cup Juvenile. Union Rags/Trensa, out of Giant’s Causeway. Positive pace progress, with best at 98 coming in early September.

GOOD MAGIC: Already a superstar, winning the BC Juvenile while still a maiden. 2nd in the Champagne. Curlin/Glinda The Good, out of Hard Spun. Lifetime numbers: 105, 96, 92. Ideal pace progress, Grade 1 wins and 8.5 furlong victory
BOLT D’ORO is my most highly favored pick. 3 wins and a 3rd: Won his maiden debut vs 60k at Del Mar in August, then the Bashford Manor Futurity, and the Front Runner, then third in the BC Juvenile Medaglia D’Oro/Globe Trot, out of AP Indy. Lifetime numbers: 99, 105, 94, 91. Also with good pace progress and 8.5 furlong victory.

The plan is to wager on my top 5 for wins, and top 3 to each other in exactas, along with the field selections.

 

2017 Derby Sire Future Wager analysis

At last the results of both future wagers can be revealed. The variables involved are the same as in previous years:
AWD of the sire + grandsire of the horse (or the sire himself)
CLASS: Highest grade win by a horse
CD PACE: Fastest race at Churchill Downs by this horse
RUN PACE: Binomial method of determining current pace projection of horse for next race. Using the main Brisnet speed figures, the fastest is ‘the speed”. When using call numbers, I generally determine who has the best tactical speed.
LONG: Longest distance win by a horse
PACE PROGRESS: Any horse who has run before 9/1 and has since run faster before turning 3. Borrowed from Dave Liftin.
I add up who has most variables, and factor the top 5 for wagering. I keep others underneath this list in case the odds are very good.

WAGER GUIDELINES:
Betting $2 win with my top 5 in the Sire Future Wager. Avoid horses who are better than 6-1.
Continuing my theme from last year, I will play exactas between my top 3 and the field $22 in all.

Here’s who are in that 6-to-11 ranking…in the event I have to eliminate one of my top 5

11th: OVERANALYZE: Over Rider last time out posted a 90 Bris rating vs 40k claiming, 2nd as beaten favorite in that one. 7 offspring with pace progress. Longest win: 8.5 furlongs.
10th: WAR FRONT: 7.40 AWD is one of the better ranks here. 6 offspring with pace progress. Best class win: US Navy Flag, with 2 Grade 1 wins in GB.
Darley Dewhurst Stakes:

Juddmonte Middle Park Stakes:

9th: STREET SENSE: McKinzie’s lone run was on 10/28 vs 50k maidens, 100 Bris, winning going away by 5.5 lengths. 8.5 furlongs long distance win. Best class win: Grade 2 Nashua on 11/5 at Aqueduct, won by Avery Island.

8th: MORE THAN READY: Copper Bullet’s 2nd race was his maiden breaker, 93 Bris over 5 furlongs at CD.
Currently 4-2-2-0, including his other win, the Grade 2 Saratoga Special. Longest distance win: 8.5 furlongs.

 

7th: TIZNOW: 7.60 AWD. 6 horses with pace progress. Best win: Grade 1 Hopeful by Sporting Chance (now 3-2-1-0) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NLLzW7_JseM

 

6th: UNION RAGS: 10 horses with pace progress. 8.5 furlongs longest distance win. Best class win: Grade 1 Breeders Futurity by Free Drop Billy.

 

Now for the prime top 5:
5th: CURLIN: 7.60 AWD. Run pace of 99 (Good Magic’s lifetime Bris: 105, 96, 92). Longest win: 8.5 furlongs. Best class win: Breeders Cup Juvenile, also Good Magic. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ce30z5aHLA4

4th: INTO MISCHIEF: Best run at Churchill is 93, by Tiz Mischief, who ran 2nd in his 2nd maiden race. https://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/race/usa/kee/2017/10/7/4/race-4-msw-at-kee-on-10-7-17

 

Run pace of 93, courtesy of He’s Stylish, in maiden debut last month at Santa Anita, vs 50k maidens.
https://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/race/usa/sa/2017/10/28/8/race-8-msw-at-sa-on-10-28-17

 

3rd: TAPIT: 7.60 AWD. Best run at Churchill is also 93, by Arrival, defeating fellow 60k maidens on 11/8. Best run pace is 94, from the lone run of Airtouch, vs 83k maidens, 8/12, at Saratoga, losing by a nose. Longest distance win was 9 furlongs, by Biblical, vs 60k maidens, 11/17 at Aqueduct.
Airtouch: https://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/race/usa/sar/2017/8/12/2/race-2-msw-at-sar-on-8-12-17

Biblical: https://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/race/usa/aqu/2017/11/17/2/race-2-msw-at-aqu-on-11-17-17

 

2nd: SCAT DADDY: Best CD run was 90 by Combatant, defeating 60k maidens last month. 10 offspring with positive pace progress.
https://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/race/usa/cd/2017/10/29/11/race-11-msw-at-cd-on-10-29-17

Longest distance win: 8.5 furlongs. Best class win: Grade 1 Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf, by Mendelssohn, in his US debut.
http://www.breederscup.com/races/juvenile-turf

 

1st: MEGDALIA D’ORO: 7.70 AWD. 100 run pace (Bolt D’Oro’s lifetime Bris numbers: 99, 105, 94, 91). Longest distance win: 9.5 furlongs, by Gyllen at Deauville in France, winning his maiden debut.
Best class win: Bolt D’Oro’s Grade 1 Front Runner and Del Mar Futurity, here: https://youtu.be/14ud_gPCi8I

This post was written as the pools were opening. So far, the sires taking the most money are Megdalia D’Oro, all others, and Curlin. If the pools closed now (of course, they will truly change for good on Sunday once the stakes races on Saturday are resolved), here’s who I’d wager on:
Scat Daddy, Tapit, Into Mischief, Curlin (must watch those odds) and Union Rags.

Coming a bit later, my take on Pool 1 of the Derby Future Wager.

2017 sports dynasty update

Time to update the dynasty post again! 2 years since the last update, I am somewhat overdue on finding out for you what dynasties are new, in place, or ending.

I believe that the best teams and players are those who reach the top levels
and defeat the top competition, and get knocked down, and get back up again.
A dynasty is established by a player or sport who leads their group,
team/league through to the highest level of competition, through playoffs,
up the title game/series, for a period of at least 3 consecutive years.
Should that period be interrupted for 2 years, the dynasty continues, until
he/she/they cannot reach the top level a 3rd year. The dynasty can still
continue, tho, if our subject reclaims the top level from another, and only
one other to have at least 2 consecutive years at the top. Again, top
meaning league/conference title, up to the overall league championship
(World Series, Super Bowl, Stanley Cup), or, for an individual sport that
doesn’t have eliminations, winning outright.
MLB
The Yankees won 8 titles between 1996 and 2003, establishing
a dynasty only interrupted by the Indians and Angels, one year each. For the
dynasty to continue, the Yankees would have had to win the league by 2006,
or, if one other team won (leading to a dynasty) instead in the ‘gap’, and
the Yankees reclaimed from there, the streak would continue. Boston would
win in 2004, White Sox in 2005, and the Tigers in 2006, and the Yankees
didn’t get back until 2009. Boston came close to producing a dynasty,
having won in ’04 and ’07 but not winning by 2010.
Currently these teams are eligible to build a dynasty:
Kansas City (must reach the World Series in 2018 or 2019)
Cleveland (must clinch in 2018)
Houston (clinch by 2020)

Going back in time since the playoff era, here are all the dynasties in the
American League:
Orioles (1966-1971)
Athletics (1972-1974)
Yankees (1976-1981)
Yankees (1996-2003)
Minnesota comes close, winning in 1987 and 1991, interrupted by the
Athletics in the interim years, but could not win another title by 1995
(skipping the 1994 strike year). Ditto the Indians, winning in 1995 and
1997, interrupted only by those Yankees. After 2003, Cleveland would have
had to bookend that streak with a title but they have not been back since.

National League:
Reds (1970-1976)
Dodgers (1974-1981)
Cardinals (1982-1987)
Braves (1991-1999)
Giants (2010-2014)
Teams that can build dynasties:
New York (must get to the Series in 2018)
Chicago (by 2019)
Los Angeles (by 2020)

No dynasties in the playoff era met each other in the playoffs, but of
course did meet in the regular season. That would be, as we can guess,
Walter Alston’s Dodgers and Sparky Anderson’s Big Red Machine, from 1974 to
1976. The Dodgers won the season series 12-6, and in runs, 79 to 57. The
margin was different in 1975, as they won just 18 against the Reds, losing
in the run department, 69 to 64. Cincy would be the thorn in the Dodgers
side in 1976, as they would win 13 of 18, and outscore LA 77-57. Couldn’t
you just imagine what those contests in 1975 were like? And, that 3-year
period, 1974 to 1976 gave us 3 dynasty teams at once. Maybe baseball was
never better than that time. A long way down to the upstarts and parity that
baseball has given us since.
Dynasties did collide in the World Series, as you can imagine, in these
years:
1970 (Orioles over Reds)
1972 (A’s over Reds)
1974 (A’s over Dodgers)
1976 (Reds over Yankees)
1977, 1978 (Yankees over Dodgers)
1981 (Dodgers over Yankees)
1996, 1999 (Yankees over Braves)
1988 was the first year 2 teams not of dynasty type met in the Series. The
Dodgers had a singular year, and still won, thanks to Gibby, while Oakland
would get back to the series in 1990).
Let’s go further back in time to see what dynasties were made before the
playoff era.
American League:
Detroit 1907-1909
Philadelphia 1910-1914
Boston 1912-1918
NY Yankees 1921-1943
Washington 1924-1933
Philadelphia 1929-1931
Detroit 1934-1940
NY Yankees 1947-1964
And the NL:
Chicago White Stockings 1880-1886
Boston Beaneaters 1891-1898
Baltimore Orioles 1894-1896
Brooklyn (Bridegrooms-Superbas) 1890-1900
Pittsburgh Pirates (1901-1909)
NY Giants (1904-1913)
Chicago Cubs (1906-1910)
NY Giants (1921-1924)
St. Louis (1926-1934)
Chicago (1929-1938)
NY Giants (1933-1937)
Brooklyn/LA (1947-1959)
St. Louis (1942-1946)
NY Giants (1951-1954)
St. Louis (1964-1968)
LA (1963-1966)
The clashes of titans in the World Series occurred in these years. With less
teams and more familiar foes, there was a lot of repeats:
1907, 1908: Cubs/Det
1909: Det/Pitt
1910: Phila/Cubs
1911: Phila/Giants
1912: Boston/Giants
1913: Phila/Giants
1921, 1922: Giants/Yankees
1923: Yankees/Giants
1924: Washington/Giants
1926: St. Louis/Yankees
1928: Yankees/Cards
1929-30: Yankees/Phila
1931: St. Louis/Phila
1932: Yankees/Cubs
1933: Giants/Senators
1934: Cards/Tigers
1935: Tigers/Cubs
1936-7: Yankees/Giants
1938: Yankees/Cubs
1942: Cards/Yankees
1943: Yankees/Cards
1947: Yankees/Dodgers
1949: Yankees/Dodgers
1951: Yankees/Giants
1952-3: Yankees/Dodgers
1955: Dodgers/Yankees
1956: Yankees/Dodgers
1963: Dodgers/Yankees
1964: Cards/Yankees

NFL football dynasties in the Super Bowl era:
Packers (1961-1967)
Baltimore Colts (1961-1970)
Cleveland Browns (1963-1968)
Oakland Raiders (1967-1969)
Miami Dolphins (1971-1973)
Vikings (1973-1976)
Steelers (1974-1979)
Cowboys (1975-1978)
Denver Broncos (1986-1989)
Bills (1990-1993)
Cowboys (1992-1995)
Patriots (2001-present)
Steelers (2005-2010)
Indianapolis Colts (2006-2009)
So there was a period of 5 years, 1963 to 1967 that included 4 contending
teams between 2 leagues, then 1975-76 involving 3 teams, and 2006-09
involving 3 more in the same conference.
Outside of the Patriots continuing their outstanding dynasty, only the Broncos can actually build one but must get to the Super Bowl in the current or next season to make this happen. Seattle can build a dynasty by reaching the Super Bowl this season as well. Atlanta has this and 2 more seasons, Carolina has this and next season.
Note that I include teams from the AFL that participated in the AFL
championship as well.
Football dynasties have clashed in the Super Bowl in these years, Roman
numerically speaking:
I (1966 season): Packers over Chiefs
VIII (1973): Dolphins over Vikings
IX(1975): Steelers over Vikings
X (1976): Steelers over Cowboys
XIII(1978) : Steelers over Cowboys
XXVII (1992): Cowboys over Bills
XXVIII (1993): Cowboys over Bills. These two also had met in the 1993
regular season, week 2. Buffalo would go 2-0 with a late 13-10 victory in
Big D.
****
NHL:
Counting Stanley Cup finals-participants from 1967-68 to the present (the
first big expansion of the league):
Toronto (1958-66)
St. Louis (1968-1970)
Boston (1970-1978)
Philadelphia (1974-1976)
Montreal (1967-1978)
NY Islanders (1980-1984)
Edmonton (1982-1990)
Detroit (1995-1998)
NJ Devils (2000-2003)
Chicago (2009-present)
Chicago must get to the finals in 2018 to keep theirs going.
Pittsburgh can be added to this list if they can get to the finals in this or the next 2 seasons.
Tampa Bay, San Jose and Nashville also are eligilble to build dynasties.

 

Stanley Cup finals between dynasties:
1968-9: Montreal/St. Louis
1970: Boston/St. Louis
1974: Philly/Boston
1976: Montreal/Philly
1977-8: Montreal/Boston
1983: NY Islanders/Edmonton
1984: Edmonton/NY Islanders
Philly, Boston, Montreal were running dynasties at once from 1974 to 1976.
Was hockey any better than this period?
And here’s some 1974 history: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GSLXSxIjfok

NBA:
Minneapolis Lakers (1949-1954)
Syracuse Nationals (1950-1955)
St. Louis Hawks (1957-1961)
Boston Celtics (1958-1969)
Minn./LA Lakers (1959-1973)
NY Knicks (1970-1973)
Washington Bullets (1975-1979)
Philly (1977-1983)
LA Lakers (1980-1991)
Boston (1981-1987)
Detroit (1988-1990)
Chicago (1991-1998)
San Antonio (1999-2007)
LA Lakers (2000-2004)
LA Lakers (2008-2010)
Miami (2011-present)
Cleveland (2015-present)
Golden State (2015-present)

Miami’s dynasty can extended through the 2018 season, if they get to the conference finals in this season (2017-18)
Cleveland and Golden State simply have to get back to the finals in the next 3 seasons to prolong their dynasty.
Eligible teams to complete a dynasty: San Antonio (must get to the finals in 2018)

NBA Finals that included a pair of dynasties:
1950: Minn/Syracuse
1954: Minn/Syracuse
1958: St. Louis/Boston
1959: Boston/Minn
1960-1: Boston/St. Louis
1962-3, 1965-6, 1968-69: Boston/LA
1970: NY Knicks/LA
1972: LA/NY Knicks
1973: NY Knicks/LA
1980, 1982: LA/Philly
1983: Philly/LA
1984: Boston/LA
1985, 1987: LA/Boston
1988: LA/Detroit
1989: Detroit/LA
1991: Chicago/LA
2015-2017 Golden State/Cleveland

Along with the recent Miami/Cleveland/Golden State troika, there were 3 rivalries ongoing in 1959-1561, and in 1981-1983. Imagine the
vitriol between the Sixers and Celtics. Actually, do more than imagine:

 

Now we’ll swing over to NASCAR, focusing on the Sprint Cup and its own
predecessors:
Ned Jarrett (1961-65)
Richard Petty (1964-67)
David Pearson (1966-69)
Richard Petty (1971-79)
Cale Yarborough (1976-78)
Darrell Waltrip (1981-1985)
Dale Earnhardt, Sr (1986-94)
Jeff Gordon (1995-2001)
Tony Stewart (2002-11)
Jimmie Johnson (2006-present)
Drivers who can build a dynasty: Kevin Harvick, who can win this year or next.
The Stewart/Johnson battle, 6 years in all) was the first battle of
dynasties since Petty/Yarborough, which put the sport on the national map
and beyond, 1976-1978.
http://www.racing-reference.com says that Stewart and Johnson have raced in the
same 420 races. In that span, Johnson managed the better positioning, wins,
top 5s and 10.
Here are the 3 races where either of them finished 1-2 to each other with
the closest finishes:
2013 Coke Zero 400 at Daytona http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AKN4Wwc5qS8
2006 Aaron’s 499 at Talladega http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CD5zKeqOZ6o
2009 Coke Zero http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Lgd23wLlltw
And as for Petty/Yarborough, they dueled for 520 races, from 1959 to 1988.
And the stats are quite even:
Petty had 274 better finishes to Cale’s 246, and had more top 5’s (255-243),
top 10s (324-300), and better finishing position (11.4-12.3). Cale outpoints
the King in actual wins, though: 82 to 75.
The closest finish between them in a 1-2 finish was in 1976, the Music City
USA 420, in Nashville:

 

IndyCar (since 1996):
Dario Franchitti (2007-2011)
Eligible to build a dynasty: Simon Pageneau, Josef Newgarden.
Scott Dixon had 3 years to build a dynasty, but finished 3 in the season.

F1 (since 1950):
Juan Manuel Fangio (1951-57)
Jackie Stewart (1969-73)
Alain Prost (1985-89)
Ayrton Senna (1988-1991)
Michael Schumacher (2000-04)
Sebastian Vettel (2010-2013)
Lewis Hamilton (2014-present)
Eligible to build a dynasty: Nico Rosberg

Interesting that the Prost/Senna duel were the only dynasties that ever
clashed here. How did they do in the head-to-head? Glad you asked: They
were part of 141 races together, with Prost getting the better of Senna 71
to 70. Prost also ranks ahead on all the other categories. In 1988, either
driver finished 1-2 to each other 10 times; in 1989, 4 such races.
The closest 1-2 finish between the McLaren-Honda owned racers was the 1988
Hungarian Grand Prix. You watch and guess who won. Here’s Part 1

Part 2:

 

For tennis I’m focusing on the men’s singles Tour championship, currently
stylized as the ATP World Tour finals.
Ilie Nastase (1971-1975)
Ivan Lendl (1981-1987)
Pete Sampras (1991-1999)
Boris Becker (1992-1995)
Roger Federer (2003-2011)
Novak Djokovic (2012-present)
Novak has 2 years (this and next) to extend his dynasty. Andy Murray has 3 years (until 2019) to build to his 1 title.
1994 and 2012 were the only times two players currently in a dynasty met in
the finals of the ATP championship match
1994: Sampras/Becker: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8fAh3_T5EZ0
2012: Federer/Djokovic: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q-HgQD61IMc
As for the ladies, here’s the WTA Championship dynasties:
Chris Evert (1972-1977)
Martina Navratilova (1978-1986)
Steffi Graf (1987-1996)
Monica Seles (1990-1992)
Serena Williams (2008-present)
Petra Kvitova, who won in 2011, is the only player who can build up a
dynasty.
Graf/Seles never met in the WTA Final but they’ve locked horns 6 times in
Grand Slam finals: Seles won twice at the French, once at the Australian.
Graf was the victor in their lone matchup at Wimbledon, and two wins at the
US Open.
Here’s how the 1992 French Open turned out between them: