As promised, an updated Breeders Cup selection post
Meanwhile, whether or not I get to Auburn, WA, I have for you an early first look at the Breeders Cup races for the big weekend. In this long post I’ll give you analysis of the horsea I select to win plus the top 3. Obviously, with this much lead time, there will be a lot of cuts made, plus the inevitable scratches/changes to figure, so a few variables won’t be factored in. By Thursday night, I’ll have the 4 BC races figured out in full, and likewise on Friday night for the remainder.
BREEDERS CUP JUVENILE TURF is a mile on the Santa Anita course for colts and geldings. $1 million at stake.
3 LUCK OF THE KITTEN has run 1st or 2nd in all 4 starts, at Saratoga, Arlington, Kentucky Downs and here at Santa Anita. His performance last time out in the Zuma Beach stakes, a 91 Brisnet win, is the fastest of this field on the track. That score present his forging of a lifetime best, and a possible bounce risk. Sprinting successfully at a route race is always a big plus with me and my hope is that he can repeat. ML odds are 8/1. My odds are 4-1. I think he’ll be an overlay.
3 Luck Of The Kitten
I think it will be all value for this race, very good race to handicap.
BREEDERS CUP DIRT MILE is for 3YO+, $1 million.
BREEDERS CUP JUVENILE FILLIES TURF is one mile, $1 million.
5 ISABELLA SINGS finished 2nd impressively in the Grade 2 Natalma Stakes up at Woodbine in September, her 2nd lifetime start. Won her maiden debut wiring a 75k maiden field at Belmont in July. Her 95 in the Natalma is among the best on turf of this field. She was entered in her prior start as with today’s race under layoff. This sprinter is certainly the speed of the field and an impressive one at that who should have no problem matching her prior effort at one mile. Also: 4 works at Belmont, 3 on their turf course, all 3 works rather fast.
5 Isabella Sings
11 Conquest Harlanate
Another surprise winner here, with favorites out of the picture.
BREEDERS CUP DISTAFF hosts top fillies and mares, 3YO+ going 9 furlongs on dirt.
4 Belle Gallantey
2 Tiz Midnight
9 Ria Antonia