Being a bit of a rookie at Aussie racing, I noticed a lack of variables I’d normally use. Without the benefit of Brisnet as the provider of stats, there was no info on run-style, track bias, or lifetime speed ratings to compare runners with. Despite this, I managed to construct picks for 8 races….and here they are:
Race 1: 5-1 Zamex, Mercurial Lad. Zamex bounced from 77 to 70 since a barrier trial. 76 at 7 furlongs lifetime is the best of these at the distance. Seems to have the fastest speed figures. Positive jockey switch to Tye Angland.
Race 2: 1-2 Two horse race on paper, and that’s how I see it…Santos over Spin here with no real $ to make this one interesting.
Race 3: 1-7-4 Regimen, Workdrinks, Sweet Deal. ML top 3 also, so probably one to pass up.
Race 4: 6-8-7 After All That, Pumpkin Pie, Darts Away. After All That 3rd in ML odds, best track score of the field, gained somewhat on the leader last time out. Positive jockey switch to Robert Thompson
Race 5: 4-8-9 Harper’s Choice, Oklahoma Girl, Pygmy. Harper’s Choice co-3rd choice in ML. Best pattern of speed figures, fast tough trip last time out. Also best for off-track and Ranwick. 3 2nds in 8 races lifetime here…is she due?
Race 6: 9-2-5 Cismontaine over favored Big Duke and longshot Havana Cooler. Cismontaine has a bunch of equipment (gear) changes in prep. Gained a bit on leader despite late fade out. One of my big longshot picks.
Race 7: 5-4-12 Kuro, Japonisme, In Her Time. 2 more longshots upfront. Kuro with fastest pattern of speed ratings and fastest tough trip coming in.
Race 8 is the big one, the Everest. top 3 are 4-3-5. Redkirk Warrior over Redzel and Clearly Innoncent. Redkirk Warrior improved nicely first race after layoff, 104 to 112, and did well behind leaders at that.