Trying my luck once again with the free TVG Super 8 contest. 5 wins out of 8 earn you some money. 8 of 8 nets you a share (ha!) of $100k.
Here is how I see the 8 contest races for 1/20/18. These picks are modified, factoring in a few scratches, so overlay thoughts are ultimately tentative until public money rolls in:
1: Santa Anita, race 1, 54k 3YO Cali maidens, going one mile on the turf. Top 3 are 1-6-4. Just Kathy, Mo See Cal and Wishful. Overlay: Princess Fran, the lone ML double-digit longshot. Just Kathy at 5-1 ML wouldn’t be a win play for me. That honor would go to Wishful, who adds blinkers for the first time and is waiting 4 weeks to move up from her debut of 5.5 furlongs. Princess Fan intrigues me even more. Only filly here to come out of a small new top that represents her lifetime best. 71 score last time out in same class and first time on turf. She was off rather slow, couldn’t rally in the 12 horse field. Still, the score is fastest of those with some trouble last time.
UPDATE: Following scratch to Princess Fran, top 3 are now 6-4-1.
2: Golden Gate, racae 1, 4k claimers, fillies/mares 4YO+, non-winner since 11/1/17 or non-winner of 4. 1 mile on the dirt. Top 3 are 5-4-3. Shining Eva (lone overlay), Loveintheshadows and Life No Parole.
Shining Eva is the lone sprinter in this field of 6. She’s also the lone horse moving up from a sprint. 1 fast work since 1/5. That race itself was a nice improvement at 1st call, first off layoff.
3: Aqueduct, race 8, 6.5 furlongs, 67k allowance, 4YO+, non-winners of 2. Top 3 are 1-6-4…The Crocheron Kid, Forest Blue (both overlays) and War Of Ideas.
The Crocheron Kid raced with more money on him last time out, rising to small top of 89, ahead of a pair of 87s, all at similar class. 1st call numbers suggest great early speed to assist in his stalking nature. Certainly with having the most consistent recent numbers, he cannot be ruled out, even at 30-1. Forest Blue owns best speed figures for distance and has prior wins 1st off layoff. Fast 86 trip last out despite running 3 wide. Prior win while switching from turf to dirt
4: Santa Anita, race 2, 54k 3YO Cali maidens going 6.5 furlongs. Top 3 are 2-3-4…Soltero (overlay), Lombo, and Masked.
Soltero was 6th in his debut, running 5.5 furlongs with 67 BRIS at LRC 11/30, adds blinkers. This AP Indy grandson is waiting longest to stretch; 5 workouts since, all very fast, with 1 a bullet.
5: Aqueduct race 9 is for 4YO+, non-winners of 2, 6.5 furlongs, 16.5k claimers. I like 11-1-8..Primo Pientimento (overlay), Lightning Buzz, and Mutaraamy (overlay).
Primo Pentimento runs for the first time as a gelding, and cuts back from a route, only horse to do so here. Off since 10/28, he’s put in 4 works, last 2 very fast.
6: Gulfstream race 11 is the Sunshine Millions Sprint Stakes, 100k, FL-breds, 4YO+, 6 furlongs. Top 3 are the favored Mo Cash, XY Jet, and longshot Sweetontheladies.
Sweetontheladies is running possibly on a less than fast track today; her lone run on off conditions was her lifetime best 98, here last summer. Fast troubled trip last out in the Mr Prospector, a 79 despite a stumbling start. XY Jet won that race.
7: Santa Anita race 4, Cali-bred fillies and maidens, 4YO+, 54k level, 1 mile on the turf. Top 3 are 7-1-4…..overlay Night Bloom, Lady Mamba and Achira.
Night Bloom is the lone early closer of the field, getting a 5 lb allowance.
8: Santa Anita race 5, open 4YO+ maidens, 20k level, 8.5 furlongs. Top 3 are favored Seau and Is Trevor Clever, followed by Exceptiontotherule, lone overlay, who has great AWD numbers via Irish-breds.