Enlightened Trails update: Delta Downs 1/12, 1/13/18

Most horseplayers will look to Gulfstream Park for top-graded Thoroughbred action this weekend. I turn to my Enlightned Trails instead, focusing on 2 races at Delta Downs.
Tonight is the first of the 3YO races on either Trail. The Take Charge Brandi Stakes is for 3YO fillies, 60k purse, 7 furlongs on dirt.
Top 3 here are pretty chalky in Testing One Two, Upset Brewing, and Laudation. This 6-horse race is down from 8, following morning scratches to She’s The Fastest and Yes To The Dress. Upset Brewing is a decided favorite per the morning-line.
Potential odds: Testing One Two 3-1; Upset Brewing 1-1; Laudation and La Mistake 8-1; Cowgirl Callie 37-1. No overlays in this race. Laudation becomes the lone closer of the field. Testing One Two will need a collapsed pace to win this race and I believe she will. 84 BRIS 2 races back in winning her 2nd maiden race here in October…best for track and distance in this field. Also a prior winner 1st off layoff. Paired with an 88 last time out in the LA Jewel. 5 workouts since that race.
No real shot at value in this one. None of these fillies have prior EOT points.

Saturday’s event is for the 3YO colts on the EDT Trail. This is the 60k Big Drama Stakes, 7 furlongs. Top 3 are Boune in Nixa, Bobby’s wicked One, and Much Trouble, the only value horse here. No overlays so far.
Bourne in Nixa on the rail is the lone deep closer. Pair of wins at 6 furlongs, scoring 90 then 81. Waiting since 11/4 to stretch. Plenty of works since then, a few fast ones at that.
Much Trouble is worth a look. Still a maiden after 3 races, he forged a big gain from 65 to 81 on 11/18 and has been off since. The 81 one score earned him 2nd place but earned a win via DQ. The wide and troubled, yet fast, trip should be an indicator of a better race today (not to mention the switch to a 26% jockey and 44% trainer).

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