2017 Coventry Stakes analysis

A handful of hours before the running of the Coventry Stakes at Ascot, I cannot help but recall the movie My Fair Lady, and “Ascot Gavotte”, an ensemble chorus singing a tune about the opening of the classic UK meet. The meet itself does begin on the day of the solstice, 6/20. This race would be the ideal representative on my Enlightened Oaks Trail (more on this in a post coming soon).
With a glaring lack of pace details and such coming from the Brisnet past performances and Equibase details, I turned to The Racing Post to fill in pace numbers and went from there.
In this 18-horse field, I narrowed it down to 3 horses, and 4 overlays.
Aqabah is who I like most here. Winner of an allowance on this track last month, and 4th last out in a 2YO stakes race while stretching out, he does add blinkers, and has the fastest pace numbers (measured by pure mph) of those who had a trouble trip last time.
Murillo also looks interesting here. Cut to 5 furlongs last time, he won a maiden race at Tiperary as well as it being a shipping win. Waiting since 5/25 to stretch out again.
Rajasinghe won an allowance race in his lone start, on the all-weather at Newcastle. That race gave him the highest Racing Post total of anyone coming in.
Haddaf may be one to use here. 3 races in, all at 5 furlongs, he is still a maiden, but he did manage a strong pace number, and may be a bounce risk following a 3rd place finish in a stakes effort at Sandown Park. His times at 5 furlongs thus far: 1:00.4, losing by a neck; 1:00.2 (ditto), and 59.4 (1.25 lengths behind).

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