Having read the post by Sports Illustrated’s Jay Jaffe re Selig’s legacy, it dawns on me that the BBWAA, for such as an institution that it is, might look more favorably upon the PED-users. Even if that glimmer of hope doesn’t come right away, it should in the next year or two. If Bonds, Clemens, et al get about 65% for 2017, I say the writing is on the wall for their inclusion.
Albert Pujols (5)
Ichiro Suzuki (3)
David Ortiz (4)
In putting this year’s list together, there was one pivotal tie for the 10th and last spot in my virtual ballot. Vladimir Guerrero is the first out from the tie between himself, Curt Schilling, Mike Mussina and fellow first-ballot player Ivan Rodriguez. The one glaring factor is the lack of Black Ink, points for leading the league in various categories. His WAR is also just under the top 10, as well as his JAWS and JAWS by position. It’s unfortunate that he might not make it in for his first vote, as I do regard him as the best hitter of all time.
I continue to give Clemens and Bonds highest marks, with Bagwell easily going in afterward, followed by Manny Ramirez and Larry Walker (who is overdue). Raines deserves to be in, and I truly hope Sosa gets his due. Trevor Hoffman doesn’t belong in this class if measured by all standards. But we don’t separately elect players per position, and that is one great fallacy. If the vote were separate among hitters, SPs and relievers, Trevor would be in easily.
Jorge Posada is the best of the rest of the first-timers, tho he falls rather short of election. His chances are based on his JAWS position and his similar stats to other HOFers at different ages and overall.
Trevor Hoffman and Roger Clemens are the standouts among pitchers. With the hitters, there was no tie, but there are differences from the standard vote. McGriff and Sheffield have a stronger case from these enlightened stats, as does Vladimir. Jeff Kent just misses election, as his WAR lifetime is too low; he played for 6 franchises, and too few postseason games.