Quick thoughts on two stakes races running today:
New York Stallion Series (Staten Island Division) at Aqueduct, 7 furlongs, 125k purse, fillies/mares 3YO+
Top 3: Highway Star, Frosty Margarita, Lady Kreesa.
Overlays: Highway Star, Lady Kreesa, Storied Lady
Highway Star 3 wins in 5 races. 4th in a NYSS race at Saratoga, 3rd in a 200k stakes event there also. All wins have come at Belmont and against older. Off since late September and with having won her maiden debut, rust should not be a factor. 4 works at Belmont, 2 of them very fast. Gets 6 lb maximum allowance, running at 116.
Storied Lady increased turn time, interval of 22.1 last time out is best of these, and still lost 10 points in speed figure. It’s possible that she just doesn’t do mud well, her 2nd such race in 26 lifetime.
Frosty Margarita put up 3 straight by January, and has run competitively without winning since in 100-200k ungraded stakes level. Best track performance of the field, 92, was set a year ago. Playing the bounceback angle after going from 86 to 67 in speed, adjusting for sloppy track. Turn time gain of 1.2 seconds between last 2 races.
Lady Kreesa has the best speed pattern going, consistently running in the 80s
Coronation Futurity at Woodbine, 9 furlongs, 250k stakes event for Canadian 2YOs.
Top 3: King And His Court, Woodbridge, State Of Honor.
King and his Court owns 3 3rds and a 5th since his maiden breaker. 3rd in the Grey (Grade 3) with 82 Brisnet, despite wide 2nd turn. First time Lasix recipient. 3 works here, all very fast.
Woodbridge broke maiden in 4th try last. Best AWD numbers (Langfuhr/Wood Fern, out of Woodman). Best pure pace numbers. Tied for fastest turn time last out, 24.4.
State Of Honor took 5 tries to graduate from maiden. Best track and all-weather speed of the field, and 86, achieved last time out. Strong gain in speed figure from 70 to 86. Also posted 24.4 turn time.
Jurojin won a 125k stakes event 2 races back, with lifetime best 80 figure, bounced to 74 last time out. Great backstretch speed and could surprise. Jockey switch back to Contreras.