Enlightened Trails are updated through the Fitz Dixon Juvenile Memorial Stakes at Presque Isle, which sees our first two-time winner of a Trails race in Wellabled. 3rd in that race was Romeo O Romeo, who was 2nd to Wellabled in the Arlington Washington Futurity.
I have built divisions for the horses, properly reflecting the locations of tracks with Graded races, and the minors for all those without Graded events at the top level.
I am doing a contest at Charles Town, presented by The Racing Biz. I have little time to handicap and get it done in one day, so I’m using a shortcut method to figure it all out.  The contest has no prizes; it’s just for bragging rights.
Meanwhile, in what does count for you, dear reader, is my take on beautiful Belmont Park’s representative races for the Trails, the Champagne and Frizette Stakes.

The Frizette Stakes is a Grade 1, $400k race for top 2YO fillies, going 1 mile on the dirt. This is the 3rd of the 4 Northeast Division races in the Oaks Trails.
Entering this race, just one horse has any ET points; Star Super was 3rd in the Sorority at Monmouth, good for 25 points in the Minor division.
My top 3 horses are Libby’s Tail, Yellow Agate and Nonna Mela.
Libby’s Tail won her maiden debut at Belmont, a wide trip vs 75k maiden fillies. Following a 7 week layoff, she appeared in the Grade 2 Adirondack and finished 4th. It was a similar uneven sort of trip, and a similar speed figure. Only early closer in the field. I’m banking on her consistency, considering her 2nd consecutive start following layoff. Good price at 8-1.

2 overlay possibilities here: The aforementioned Star Super bounced last time out in her Sorority run. Despite a bumpy start, her 77 speed figure is still plenty fast to compete with today’s field.   The other longshot, Colorful Charades, won her debut vs 83k maiden fillies at Saratoga on an off track. There is rain in the forecast today. Track bias is favoring pure sprinters (8 wins in 20 dirt miles during the meet) and posts 4-7 (18%). Also has the best workouts of the field.

On the Derby side there is the Champagne Stakes, a 500k race for top 2YO colts, going 1 mile on the Belmont dirt.   Top 3 for me are Practical Joke, Favorable Outcome and Lookin At Blessing.    Coming into this race, Practical Joke has the lone ET points, 250 points, for winning the Hopeful at Saratoga.  Paired up his maiden debut with a 2nd 90 speed rating. Turn time is easily best of the field. Only early closer here.
No overlays in this race.  Not looking for any upsets here.

Later on Saturday or overnight, I’ll post the rest of my NFL momentum predictions.

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