Enlightened Trails make its return into Canada, at Winnipeg’s Assiniboia Downs for the track’s 25k 5-furlong Debutante. This race takes place on 7/13, the 2nd race in the Oaks Trails (the first EDT race won’t be until 7/29 at Prairie Meadows). Here’s my top 3 from the 9 horse field.
Lady Esson debuted 3rd in the Bar None, with Go She’s Italian 2nd. Stretching to 5 furlongs, she’s also receiving Lasix for the first time. I love her 12/1 odds, and believe she will be the sole overlay.
Me First is a first-time starter, entering with best average-winning distance numbers from her pedigree (First Defence/Dixie Delight, by Dixieland Band). 4 workouts to begin her career, all here, and 2nd most recent was a bullet at 4 furlongs.
Smart Sense is also a first-time starter, with 5 local works, 2 very fast, 1 a bullet.
Suggested odds: Me First 5-1; Dark Desert Wine 4-1; Go She’s Italian 5-1; Lady Esson 3-1
Predicted odds path: Dark Desert Wine and Lady Esson I believe have more hidden stats that will impact the race and will have inflated odds. This will give even more overlay value to the latter, and turns the former into a non-favorite per morning-line. Meanwhile, more $ should come in on the other 2 faves, Smart Sense and Me First. Go She’s Italian, 9/2 morning line, should also take on more $.