Moving on: I am now an employee at Emerald Downs, the status of which renders me ineligible to be in the 123 Racing contest there. I still am eligible to be part of The Racing Biz’s 2 day contest, 5 stakes races both Saturday and Sunday at Pimlico. Here I present info on the Friday races.
Savoy Stomp has the best Average Winning Distance numbers from pedigree (Megdalia d’Oro, Crystal Current by AP Indy). One of two horses in optimal pace form. Small new top of 95 achieved in March, and only horse in field to win 1st off layoff. Best works: 4 since the Skip Away on 4/2 at Gulfstream, 1 very fast. Switching back to maiden-breaking win by John Velazquez. Somewhat wide bid for much of the Skip Away. This closer just didn’t have what it took to win then. But the fast 89 Brisnet suggests there is more in the tank.
Potential overlays: Savoy Stomp, Heisinfront
JIM MCKAY TURF SPRINT: 5 furlongs, turf, 100k, 3YO+.
My top 3 are Big Guy Ian, Ben’s Cat, Jack’s In The Deck.
Big Guy Ian is in bounceback pace position after lifetime best triple digit speed figures, then bounce to 75 last out in the Elusive Quality. One of three horses to improve on first call 1st after layoff. Best turn time and gain of the field.
Potential overlays: Big Guy Ian, Jack’s In The Deck.
HILLTOP Stakes: 8.5 furlongs, turf, for 3YO fillies, 100k. Top 3 depends on entries. If one of the horses scratches, the also-eligible Lookout Sister is my top pick, with Thundering Sky 2nd and Look Who’s Talking 3rd. If no scratches, the latter two are my chosen top 2, with Cowgirl Tough rounding out my trifecta. Lookout Sister won both lifetime races at Del Mar, including the Small Wonder in September. Having won her maiden debut, do not expect her to experience rust today. 4 works since last, most recent one a bullet. Switches back to original jockey Trevor McCarthy. Waiting since April 2nd to stretch. Thundering Sky’s lone start at the distance on April produced best figure of the field, a 91. Measured as having best figures overall.
Overlays: Melody Croon, Thundering Sky, Look Who’s Talking. Lookout Sister (if in the race), Cowgirl Tough (if Lookout Sister not in)
Finally the BLACK EYED SUSAN, race for leading 3YOs going 9 furlongs, Grade 2 event, 250k.
My top 3 are Dothraki Queen, Ma Can Do It and Midnight On Oconee.
Dothraki Queen is the classic ‘now’ horse.Winner of her maiden debut and the subsequent Pocahontas, with diminishing returns since. 4 works, 3 at Churchill, last 2 very fast, one a bullet. 1 shipping win. Only time she switched from turf to dirt, she won. She does likewise today, shipping from the Keeneland turf and an 8th place finish in the Appalachian, 4/14.
Overlays are each of my top 3 here.
Back in a bit with the Preakness capsule focus.