Once again going without podcast for a week; some weeks are just much slower than others.
I do have a reaction to the BHOF&M vote tho plus NFL playoff predictions in focus today.
Very pleased to see Piazza get in convincingly. Griffey by all accounts was an absolute lock. I feel that the 20% decrease in voters, removing the writers that don’t toe the line and keep voting, was the defining impact. There were less votes per ballot but at least the quality of writers are better than before. Notice the big increase from the leading steroid accusees: Bonds and Clemens received increases of over 10%. McGwire’s open admission of guilt may have cost him in the long run, tho he remains in the game. He faltered in his final year with 12%. Maybe it’s that lack of admission of guilt that keeps the most questionable players in the process. No news is good news, right?
We’re into the strongest classes in voting history. 5th ranked player in the voting is over 60% for the 3rd straight year.
Curious why Bagwell is a just miss; he’s a can’t miss for me. Jeff Kent, on the other hand, doesn’t fit in at all here.
My 10: Piazza, Bagwell, Raines, Clemens, Bonds, Schiling, Mussina, Walker, Sosa, Griffey. From the alternate ballot: Piazza, Bagwell, Clemens, Bonds, Mussina, McGwire, Sosa, Sheffield, Griffey, Hoffman. Ultimately I agree on 7, and go by positional strength for the remainder, which does make Hoffman a standout player.
The top 2 players in MVP Shares from this ballot got in, Piazza with 3.15, Griffey with 3.2 By that logic, the players who are next should be Bagwell, Bonds, Clemens, Sosa and Sheffield. The glamor stat of HR/PA rules: Piazza with 18.13 was only bested by Griffey with 17.94, Bonds with 16.54, McGwire’s 13.13 ,and Sosa’s 16.24
I wish the ballot were broken up by position so that there is a fair amount of ballots for each type. Hoffman is the better RP than Billy Wagner, but not by much, and yet he doesn’t quite get in. I get it; there are so many batters on the ballot and so few relievers. There has to be a better playing field of a ballot in the future. Until then, some biases by position will remain.
Per baseball-reference.com 36 players will be up for balloting in 2017, 21 new shooters. Among them: Ivan Rodriguez, Manny Ramirez, Jason Varitek, Vladimir Guerrero, Tim Wakefield and Magglio Ordonez would seem to stand out. But I haven’t done the numbers yet. When we get closer to HOF weekend, I’ll take a closer look.
For today’s NFL playoffs, here’s what I’ve come up with:
Offense: 3.9, 8.3, 5.0, 9.0
Defense: 4, 5.7, 2.3, 7.6
Offense: 3.9, 8.5, 5.1, 9.7
D: 4.6, 6.4, 1.8, 6.8
Offense: 5.6, 7.8, 5.7, 6.7
D: 2.3, 4.3, 4.7, 5.8
O: 4.5, 8.3, 5.8, 5.8
D: 1.9, 4.9, 4.2, 5.1
Trend: Both sides with improving offense in 2Q, Pitt further improves on defense in 4Q and finds a way to win then.
O: 6.32, 8.2,3.9, 7.1
D: 4.3, 4.7, 3.7., 5.4
O: 6.7, 7.2, 4.2, 6.;9
D: 3.4, 4.4, 3.3, 7.8
O: 4.3, 4.7, 5.0, 8.0
D: 4.5, 8.2, 3.1, 4
D 4.6, 6.0, 5.5, 6.3
D 3.4, 7.0, 2.4, 3.9
Trend: Stronly defensive game, Houston better on D in the 2nd, both sides pitching shutouts in 4th as well.