The Barbara Shinpoch Stakes is the representative 2YO filly race on the Enlightened Oaks Trail, being held at my home track of Emerald Downs in Auburn WA. Here my top contenders:
2 JERRE TO CARRIE broke maiden here on 7/11 with an 80 Brisnet, then bounced to a 69 in the Angie C last time out. I really like her turn time improvement in that race upon her previous as the reason I like the longshot.
9 SAY IT SLOW as first time starter has a bunch of workouts, including going 5f furlongs on 8/8 here, 4th of 14. I like horses with a bunch of local fast works as prep.
4 KISS MY LULU belongs here, running an 87 in her debut on this track, best of the field for Emerald.
Suggested odds Princess Kennedy 9-1, Jerre to Carrie 8-5 (overlay), Freaky Kiki 5-1, Kiss My Lulu 5-1, Cape Grace 29-1, Say It Slow 5-1
The Arlington Million is run at the classic 10 furlong distance on the AP turf course. This is the 33rd running of this Grade 1 event, for 3YOs+. My top 3 are these:
10 TRIPLE THREAT was impressive in US debut, winning the Monmouth last time out by a nose. Prior to this, he’s run at top level in GB and France, with mixed results. Frequently laid off, there’s no rust on him. Appears to be the true speed when evaluated by pace; he’s got a strong stretch kick. Waiting the longest to stretch out of this field.
LEGENDARY has run rather consistently for a number of months, winning 4 of 5 consecutive last year and never worse than 5th in her last 10. Owns a prior win while gaining in weight carried, and Sheldon Russell returns to ride. Best pace pattern of the field. Owns 21.4 turn time from last race, itself a 2 second advantage from prior.
UP WITH THE BIRDS races consistently in Graded company and generally finds his way into the top 3. Easily the best of the rest, I expect him to contend but not win outright. Showed improvement in 2nd call Brisnet last time out, and had to deal with tough traffic and 4-wide running in the Arlington Handicap in that same race. I’m willing to forgive this trip, especially with the 89 Brisnet in that one.
Suggested odds: Up With The Birds 14-1 Slumber 12-1 Big Blue Kitten 4-1 Wake Forest 29-1 The Pizza Man 22-1 Legendary 5-2 (overlay), Quiet Force 29-1, Shining Copper 29-1, Triple Threat 4-1