Alvarez/Angulo prediction via biorhythms/stats

A pair of Mexican light middleweights, Saul ‘Canelo’ Alvarez mixes it up with Alfredo “Perro” Angulo, in 12 rounds of boxing at the MGM Grand, Las Vegas, tonight.

Alvarez is the top ranked light middleweight in the world, according to Boxrec.com 42-1-1, 30 KOs. He attempts to avenge his only loss, coming via majority decision against the world-class Floyd Mayweather Jr. Prior to that in his only other 2013 match, he defeated the previously undefeated Austin Trout. 5 of his prior 7 matches were wins by stoppage. 3 wins by KO in early 12-round fights, 4 middle, 5 late, plus one retirement. It’s his first fight without a title on the line since May of 2010, when defeating Jose Miguel Cotto at this very ring. Speaking of, this is his 5th appearance at the MGM Grand, going 3-1 with 2 KOs.


Not a bad set of cycles, but he’s going to be feeling the gravity of his punches more, and it won’t quite be at his peak. Still, for a boxer, the combo of physical and emotional cycles are rather ideal for success, even if he’s slow to figure out his opponent.

Angulo is 22-3-0, 18 wins and 2 losses coming from KO. 4th in Mexico and 28th in the world by weight. 2 losses in last 4 fights. This fight is Perro’s Las Vegas debut. it’s just his 9th fight scheduled for 12. In those fights he scored 4 early KOs, and 1 late. Only 2 fights he’s been involved with went to decision in his last 10.

Perro’s got some rather mixed cycles, as his physical cycle is also good but fading like his opponent, but his emo cycle is slowly creeping up from the negative. He may have the edge in the sense of pure athletic ability but not a very strong drive.
Referee Tony Weeks has been the 3rd man in the once before for either boxer….that was Alvarez vs Cotto and Angulo vs Richard Gutierrez. Both fights were TKO wins scheduled for 10.
Judge Dave Moretti was also active for Angulo/Gutierrez, along with judge Craig Metcalfe for Alvarez/Mayweather,
Both fighters have one common opponent in Kermit Cintron. Alvarez scored a TKO win in round 5 in Mexico City, 11/26/11. You can view that right here: http://www.dailymotion.com/video/x13me6n_saul-alvarez-vs-kermit-cintron-26-11-2011-hd_sport
Angulo suffered his first pro loss to Cintron, in an unanimous decision, 5/30-2009, in Hollywood, FL.
This fight is pretty close in my cycles, tho I would give the edge to Alvarez for his common opponent win. His extra amount of experience and his thirst to get a title shot back will be part of the reason he wins here.

I’m declaring this a decision win in 12 rounds for Alvarez, as he’ll neutralize Angulo’s game from the onset.

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