Two boxing matches analyzed via stats/biorhythms

Two big fights taking place tonight at the Atlantic City, NJ’s Boardwalk Hall. The main event is good but www.boxrec.com says the immediate undercard is even better.
BoxRec has no available info re referees or judges.

Here’s that undercard fight:
Peter Quillen v Gabriel Rosado, middleweights, going 12 rounds for Quillen’s WBO middleweight title.
Billed as “Kid Chocolate”, Quillen is the world #3 middleweight, and best in the US. A stellar 29-0-0 record, 21 by KO.
Has fought the great majority of his fights in NYC, and this is his 2nd in NJ, first time in AC.
This fight, his 2nd title defense, is the 3rd fight of his career going 12 rounds, coming out of a 7th round TKO and 12-round decision in the last two, preceding a run of 5 KOs

Difficult cycles at best for Quillen, as he’s in a triple low. He’s been gaining overall strength since Wednesday tho, but a true uphill battle here.

Gabriel Rosado comes in with a 21-6-0 record, 13 by KOs. He is the world #14 middleweight, and US #4. Last two fights were a no contest (opponent with win removed via banned diuretic), and a TKO loss in the 7th of 12. Is 3-2-0 with 3 KOs in all fights going 12 rounds. The Philly born and bred boxer is 5-0 with 3 KOs in all NJ fights. Record of 1-2, plus the no contest bout going against undefeated opponents.

Gabriel is in generally good form for boxing. Only issue is that he’s on a mental critical day and might be on autopilot when it comes to making decisions A bit sloppy with his power punches, but he will land his share.

I can’t see this fight in any other result than a KO for Rosado, probably mid-fight (rounds 5 through 8), handing Quillen his first loss.

***

Bernard Hopkins vs Karo Murat, light heavyweights, 12 rounds, for Hopkins’ IBF light heavyweight title.
“The Executioner” is 53-6-2, 32 by KOs. He’s the #1 light heavyweight in the world. He’s making his first defense of this title, which is his 8th lifetime belt. Has fought at 12 round for the majority of his career. 3-1, 1 KO (Kelly Pavlik) at Boardwalk Hall. Never KOd in his career 2-1-1 and a no contest in his last 5 fights, all vs. fighters with either 0 or 1 loss (including 2 rematches). Last KO win was vs De La Hoya in 2004.


Mixed bag of cycles. Strength is fairly weak but his heart is very strong. General athletic ability is at a minor low but he will still have some motivation to continue the fight. He should also be able to land a few more punches than usual tonight despite his weakness.
Karo Murat is 25-1-1, 15 by KO. The Iraqian native fights out of Germany. 3-1-1 in his last 5 fights, This will be his 11th fight scheduled for 12 rounds, carrying a record of 9-1-1, 4 KOs (3 coming in late rounds). This is his first fight outside of Europe.

Polarizing cycles for Karo, as he’s rather weak himself, and will miss more punches than normal. His heart will be strong as well as his ability to be roused by the public. His athletic ability and focus are at a low, rather deeper than Hopkins’ is.

In some respects this should be a decent, engaging fight. I see Hopkins figuring out Murak by the middle rounds and scoring a majority decision tho a late TKO can’t be ruled out given Murak’s condition right now.

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