Bahrain Grand Prix; NASCAR; ATP Tennis predictions & analysis 4/21/13

The Bahrain International Circuit, amidst protests, will indeed host the 9th Bahrain Grand Prix for Formula 1 drivers and cars. Here’s the tale of the tape:

Wins: Fernando Alonso is 3 of 8, Felipe Massa 2 of 8, Jenson Button 1 of 8, and Sebastian Vettel, 3-year reigning F1 titleist, 1 of 4.
Top 5s: Kimi Raikkonen is 5 of 7, Alonso 4 of 8.
Laps: Mark Webber has turned 431 laps here without a win, Nico Rosberg doing 334, and Raikkonen 349.

Led laps: Interestingly, 2 drivers have led 4 laps without winning a race, Raikkonen and Lewis Hamilton. The 4 drivers with more laps led have all won.

Top 5 average finish position with at least 3 races here:
Alonso: 4.9
Raikkonen: 5.6
Hamilton: 6.0
Massa: 6.9
Vettel: 7.2
Raikkonen gains 5.5 positions per race here.
Alonso & Massa have run all 8 races to the finish. Only Alonso has finished all 8 on the lead lap.

Now for my top 5:
Nico Rosberg (pole)
Alonso
Paul Di Resta
Vettel
Webber
************

NASCAR at Kansas Speedway update:
Here’s my prediction of the top 10
Carl Edwards
Matt Kenseth
Greg Biffle
Mark Martin
Kyle Busch
Clint Bowyer
Kevin Harvick
Marcos Ambrose
Tony Stewart
Kurt Busch

***
Sunday morning at Monte Carlo is the finals of the ATP Monte Carlo Masters.   Nadal/Djokovic. Sound familiar? They’ve locked horns 33 times, with Nadal leading 19 to 14 and 13-2 on the clay surface.
Seeking holes in Rafa’s games, I looked to the last few meetings. Nadal has won the last 3 matches.  Djokovic seems to have an edge in break points saved.  Djokovic won the prior 7 matches.  In the losses, Nadal outpointed routinely on aces, 1st serve, and break points saved and converted.

Here’s biorhythms for Djokovic:

Pretty decent cycles out of a mini low toward a mini high tho is relying on heart and brain rather than brawn here. 

And here’s Nadal:


Terrible cycles for him Sunday as he’s in the midst of a triple low.

Djokovic in 3 sets.

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