Bahrain Grand Prix; NASCAR; ATP Tennis predictions & analysis 4/21/13

The Bahrain International Circuit, amidst protests, will indeed host the 9th Bahrain Grand Prix for Formula 1 drivers and cars. Here’s the tale of the tape:

Wins: Fernando Alonso is 3 of 8, Felipe Massa 2 of 8, Jenson Button 1 of 8, and Sebastian Vettel, 3-year reigning F1 titleist, 1 of 4.
Top 5s: Kimi Raikkonen is 5 of 7, Alonso 4 of 8.
Laps: Mark Webber has turned 431 laps here without a win, Nico Rosberg doing 334, and Raikkonen 349.

Led laps: Interestingly, 2 drivers have led 4 laps without winning a race, Raikkonen and Lewis Hamilton. The 4 drivers with more laps led have all won.

Top 5 average finish position with at least 3 races here:
Alonso: 4.9
Raikkonen: 5.6
Hamilton: 6.0
Massa: 6.9
Vettel: 7.2
Raikkonen gains 5.5 positions per race here.
Alonso & Massa have run all 8 races to the finish. Only Alonso has finished all 8 on the lead lap.

Now for my top 5:
Nico Rosberg (pole)
Paul Di Resta

NASCAR at Kansas Speedway update:
Here’s my prediction of the top 10
Carl Edwards
Matt Kenseth
Greg Biffle
Mark Martin
Kyle Busch
Clint Bowyer
Kevin Harvick
Marcos Ambrose
Tony Stewart
Kurt Busch

Sunday morning at Monte Carlo is the finals of the ATP Monte Carlo Masters.   Nadal/Djokovic. Sound familiar? They’ve locked horns 33 times, with Nadal leading 19 to 14 and 13-2 on the clay surface.
Seeking holes in Rafa’s games, I looked to the last few meetings. Nadal has won the last 3 matches.  Djokovic seems to have an edge in break points saved.  Djokovic won the prior 7 matches.  In the losses, Nadal outpointed routinely on aces, 1st serve, and break points saved and converted.

Here’s biorhythms for Djokovic:

Pretty decent cycles out of a mini low toward a mini high tho is relying on heart and brain rather than brawn here. 

And here’s Nadal:

Terrible cycles for him Sunday as he’s in the midst of a triple low.

Djokovic in 3 sets.

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