RBC Heritage Open predictions, analysis

Still licking my wounds after another tough week of predictions. Feeling undaunted,  I press on with more to present for you this week.  First up is the RBC Heritage Open (the one with the lighthouse on #18) at Harbour Town Golf Links. This is one of the few ‘invite-only’ tourneys on the Tour.

As usual I take the synthesis of the Ball Striking and Scrambling stats to come up with my top foursome. I used this logic to select Brand Snedeker as best from last week. 6 of my top 8 made the cut at the Masters.

Graham DeLaet: 5th in GIR, 5th in total driving, 4th in GIR % from fairway bunkers, 2nd in ball striking, 4th in longest drives, 5th in Par 5’s, 1st in GIR % above 200 yards, 5th in GIR % 125-150 yards out, 6th in proximity to hole, 4th in GIR% over 100 yards, Radar: 6th in club head, ball speed and hang time, 7th in apex height, 8th in distance to apex.    Strong tech numbers, great driver, very accurate around the green 

Decent cycles, tho in a mini-low point.  Physical is up and strong, those his mental cycle is at its nadir. Going to miss a number of greens and fairways. In an emotional critical phase in round 2 as well. Will be far from his best.

Brandt Snedeker: 9th in driving accuracy, 4th in GIR%, 1st in birdie average and par breakers, 6th in scoring average, 3rd all-around, 9th in Par 3 birdie or better rate, 3rd in Par 4 birdie or better rate, 6th in birdie or better conversion rate, 4th in scrambling, 1st in bounce back, 8th in par 3 performance, 2nd on par 4s, 5th in scrambling over 30 yards, 7th in approaches from 50 to 125 yards, 1st in rough proximity, 6th in average distance of putts made,   Superb all-around game tho might not be at his best on par 5s
Brandt’s cycles rank better, with his mental and emotional cycles positive and continuing to strengthen. Physical is up as well but out of the negative side and will have an uphill climb.  Relying more on accuracy than power these 4 days.

Matt Jones: 3rd in total driving, 6th in total eagles, 6th in GIR% 125-150,
Terrible cycles, as he’s just into a triple-low period, with the physical cycle in critical for day 1 and 2.

Bill Haas: 6th in GIR %, 6th in total eagles, 4th in Par 4 performance, 3rd in GIR % 175-200, 10th in GIR% 150-175, 3rd in GIR% 100+,

His cycles are rather similar to Snedeker’s tho physically he’s at his lowest point.

Snedeker my top pick of these four.

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