NASCAR Sprint Cup at Bristol Motor Speedway stats & prediction

Here’s how the stats break down for NASCAR’s Sprint Cup series as the scene shifts to the bathtub-oval known as Bristol Motor Speedway:
Keselowski has 2 wins in 6 races, Kyle Busch is 5-for-16. Bobby Labonte starts 39th today, making his 41st start here and still no wins.  Kyle with 11 top 10 finishes within those 16 races also, while Matt Kenseth is 17-for-26.

Greg Biffle has led 438 laps without a Bristol victory. 
Dave Blaney has appeared in 23 races without leading a lap.

Jamie McMurray has kept his car running at the finish in all 20 of his starts.

Biffle had finished on the lead lap for 16 of 20 lifetime races here.

Top 5 average finishing positions:
Gordon (11,9)
Mark Martin (13.7)
Dale Jr. (11.8)
Terry Labonte (13.1)
Jeff Burton (17.9)

Adjusting for average start/finish positioning and today’s starting grid, here’s how I see the top 10 in today’s race:

1 Kyle Busch
2 Denny Hamlin
3 Paul Menard
4 Brad Keselowski
5 Jamie McMurray
6 Matt Kenseth
7 Kasey Kahne
8 Joey Logano
9 Tony Stewart
10 Jimmie Johnson

Stats from 

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