NASCAR Kobalt Tools 400 stats and prediction

NASCAR Sprint Cup series visits Las Vegas Motor Speedway today for the Kobalt Tools 400. Here are the pertinent stats:
Joe Nemechek is 0/14 in race wins here, while Bobby Labonte is 0/15.
Top 10 watch: Greg Biffle is 6 of 9; Denny Hamlin 4 of 7; Ryan Newman 6 of 12; Mark Martin 10 of 15; Tony Stewart 9 of 14; Jeff Burton 8 of 15; Carl Edwards 4 of 8; Jimmie Johnson 6 of 11.
Ken Schrader has not led a lap here out of 2678 laps. Ditto for Jamie McMurray after 2671 and Casey Mears after 2290. Neither of these have won here either.
Top 5 average finish position: Jimmie (9.8), Carl Edwards (10.2), Jeff Burton (10/9), Matt Kenseth (12.5), Marcos Ambrose (12.8)

Jeff Burton has kept his car running at finish in all 15 races here, missing the lead lap in just one race. Carl Edwards, tho, is perfect in 8 races finishing on the lead lap.

Adjusting for both today’s starting grid and average start/finish in prior races run here, here’s how I see the top 10:
1 Denny Hamlin

2 Clint Bowyer
3 Jimmie Johnson
4 Kevin Harvick
5 Dale Earnhardt, Jr.
6 Martin Truex, Jr.
7 Kasey Kahne
8 Tony Stewart
9 Greg Biffle
10 Paul Menard

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