Odds-on favorite Karakorum Fugitive pulls away from Olde Glamour in the stretch, 8th race, Belmont Park, 5/28/09.

Notes from handicapping book

I’m redoing my horse handicapping by focusing a few items, mainly inspired by Dave Litfin’s books:
Layoff…who’s running best from 30 and 60 days off
Beyer speed figures…who’s pairing up good numbers, who’s making small and large gains
Class…watching drops in class carefully
Workouts…
Claim info…who, when

This in addition to the other variables I’m already exploring:
Jockey (single most important factor)
Track condition
Track familiarity (horses for courses)
Dosage profile in relation to track profile

I go back to the track next Wednesday. I didn’t do too bad testing out 19 different variables of form, but I think I was oversold on the workouts and not enough on the class/claim info. I lost $12 in the 10 races…..

Indy 500 2009 by biorhythms

Drivers with all positive marks in physical, emotional, and mental cycles for this year’s race, in order of front row down:
Mario Moraes
Will Power
Alex Lloyd
Paul Tracy
Ed Carpenter
Dan Wheldon
Robert Doornbos
Tomas Scheckter
Mike Conway
Alex Tagliani

Drivers will all negative cycles:
Dario Franchitti
Graham Rahal
Marco Andretti
Vitor Meira
Sarah Fisher
Davey Hamilton
Oriol Servia
Milka Dune
Nelson Philippe
Ryan Hunter-Reay

I’m projecting Moraes to win this race